Need a hand picking your 2021 Grand National longshot? oddschecker have compiled the following guide to help you choose.
Which Grand National longshot should you back?
Trying to pick a winner at a chunky price in the Grand National is no mean feat, but there are some trends that can help you win big at Aintree in the 2021 Grand National.
Grand National longshots are difficult to pick at the best of times but there are ways you can improve your chances. By following these golden rules, you can give yourself every opportunity to pick out the winning horse at a big price.
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Weight is a major factor in the Grand National and clearly horses carrying less are at an advantage. In the last ten instalments of the Grand National only four horses have won carrying more than 11-03 in weight.
Extensive experience is not easy to come by with longshots, so identifying promising horses that are carrying less weight is a good tactic to pick a winner.
The distance of the Grand National is something that really separates out the field. Longshots typically don’t always have proven stamina but experience running over three miles is a good start and those who have performed admirably over that distance are worth a second look when picking your longshot.
Age is also a factor to consider. You have to go back to 2004 to find a 12-year-old winner of the Grand National. Grand National winners are also always eight years old and above since the race requires a balance of experience and athleticism. Choose a longshot aged between 8 and 11 to be in with the best chance of winning.
Also take note of the trainer and their record in the Grand National. The best trainers spend months and years preparing horses for the grueling Aintree test. The longshot you select may not be the trainers most likely chance, but a proven record is certainly a good sign for your selection.
The Grand National is the ultimate test of a trainer, jockey and horses ability, and the man or woman in the saddle has a crucial part to play. Before selecting your outsider, check the jockey’s overall record and record around Aintree to put yourself in with the best chance of picking the winner.