Joe Biden’s odds have been cut again over the weekend, but Donald Trump continues to be supported by online bettors
2020 US Election Odds
Online bookmakers cut Joe Biden's 2020 US election odds over the weekend from 1/2, following the vice-presidential debate, to 4/9. Put simply, this implies his chances of winning the 2020 US election have grown from 66.7% to 69.2%.
On the other side of the election, Donald Trump’s 2020 US election odds have shifted from 9/5 to 21/10. Which implies Trump’s election chances decreased from 34.5% to just 32.3%.
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Despite bookies believing Joe Biden is the clear favorite to win the 2020 US election, the betting public is at a complete disagreement.
Over the weekend, just under 59% of bets on the 2020 US election have been on Donald Trump winning in November. In the same time period, Joe Biden has accounted for just 35% of bets on the 2020 US election.
2020 US Election Odds And Betting
|
Candidate |
Odds |
Implied Probability |
% Of Bets This Weekend |
|
Joe Biden |
4/9 |
69.2% |
35% |
|
Donald Trump |
21/10 |
32.3% |
59% |
2020 US Election: Donald Trump’s Odds Of Winning The Election
Donald Trump was the long-time favorite to win the 2020 US Election and his odds implied he had a 61.9% chance of winning the election back in February. However, his odds have slowly slipped since then and now imply just a 32.3% chance of winning the election.
2020 US Election: Joe Biden’s Odds Of Winning The Election
Joe Biden had very little chance of winning the 2020 US election back in January 2019. At the beginning of 2019 his odds implied he had a 5.9% chance of winning the election. However, his odds shot up in early March 2020 and became the betting favorite in June 2020.
2024 US Election Odds
Just after the vice-presidential debate last week Joe Biden, Mike Pence and Kamala Harris were the joint-favorites to win the 2024 US election. However, since last weeks debate, both Joe Biden’s and Mike Pence’s 2024 US election odds have both been cut.
Online sportsbooks now have Biden and Pence at +600 to win the 2024 US election, which implies they both have a 16.7% chance.
2024 US election odds
|
Candidate |
UK Odds |
Implied Probability |
|
Joe Biden |
5/1 |
16.7% |
|
Mike Pence |
5/1 |
16.7% |
|
Kamala Harris |
6/1 |
14.3% |
|
Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez |
16/1 |
5.9% |
|
Nikki Haley |
16/1 |
5.9% |
|
Donald Trump |
20/1 |
4.8% |
|
Dwayne Johnson |
25/1 |
3.8% |
|
Ivanka Trump |
25/1 |
3.8% |
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