US Election Odds: How do Donald Trump and Joe Biden shape up in the key Swing States?

US Election Odds: How do Donald Trump and Joe Biden shape up in the key Swing States?

The Swing States are where US Elections are won and lost. Donald Trump and Joe Biden prepare to do battle for these crucial battlegrounds, but who will come out on top?

Presidential Election Odds: Who will win the Swing States?

In American politics, all states are not weighted equally. Thanks to the incredibly complex system that is the Electoral College, key battlegrounds can be identified that could tip the election in either direction.

But who is likely to win in these eight key states? Oddschecker has taken a look at Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, to see what the bookmakers' consensus is.


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Joe Biden takes charge of key Swing States

As you can see in the below compilation of odds, the Democratic Party and Joe Biden currently enjoy a stronghold over their Republican counterparts.

Donald Trump's party are currently only favourite to win in one key battleground, currently priced at 4/6 for success in Georgia.

However, the remaining swing states are all leaning in favour of Biden and company, with the strongest state looking like Minnesota (2/5).

Florida could prove crucial

In terms of toss-up states, Florida is currently looking like it could go either way. The Democrats are marginal favourites for the state at 9/10, with 1/1 being offered on a Republican victory.

Oddschecker spokesperson Callum Wilson: "As with every US Election, the swing states are where proceedings are won and lost.

"Ominously for Donald Trump, Joe Biden is dominating the market in all but one of these crucial battlegrounds, so it'll take a significant effort from the President to keep hold of the keys to the White House."

What are the Swing States?

  • Arizona: Democratic (4/6) vs Republican (13/8)
  • Florida: Democratic (9/10) vs Republican (1/1)
  • Georgia: Republican (4/6) vs Democratic (7/5)
  • Michigan: Democratic (2/5) vs Republican (9/4)
  • Minnesota: Democratic (4/11) vs Republican (3/1)
  • North Carolina: Democratic (41/50) vs Republican (11/10)
  • Pennsylvania: Democratic (21/50) vs Republican (9/4)
  • Wisconsin: Democratic (11/25) vs Republican (9/4)

US Election Swing States: Key Information

  Electoral College Votes 2016 Election Vote Implied Probability Favourite (2020)
Arizona 11 Republican Democratic (60%)
Florida 29 Republican Democratic (52.6%)
Georgia 16 Republican Republican (60%)
Michigan 16 Republican Democratic (71.4%)
Minnesota 10 Democratic Democratic (73.3%)
North Carolina 15 Republican Democratic (54.9%)
Pennsylvania 20 Republican Democratic (70.4%)
Wisconsin 10 Republican Democratic (69.4%)