Joe Biden is the clear favourite to win the election with the bookmakers, but that's not putting punters off backing Donald Trump.
- Joe Biden is the clear favourite with UK bookmakers, but Donald Trump is getting far more support from oddschecker punters.
- Those bettors think we could be seeing a repeat of 2016, where Hillary Clinton was also the overwhelming favourite to win the election at this stage.
2020 US Presidential Election Odds: Donald Trump Continues To Dominate Joe Biden In The Betting
Given the latest online polls, it will come as no surprise that Joe Biden is the overwhelming favourite to win the 2020 election. However, bettors on our market have been happy to take on the bookmakers, and are confident of an upset next week.
Find all the latest US election odds on our comparison grid
Even if the bookies got it drastically wrong next week, the result of 2020 US election wouldn’t be as shocking as it was four years ago. At this point in 2016, Donald Trump’s odds sat around the 5/1 mark, which implied he only had a 16.7% chance of winning the election.
2020 US Election: Joe Biden’s Odds Of Winning The Election
Joe Biden has been the betting favourite to win the 2020 Presidential election since May, and his current odds of 1/2 imply he's got a massive 66.7% chance of coming out on top next week. At the start of 2020, Joe Biden's election odds implied he only had a 13% chance of becoming the next POTUS.
2020 US Election: Donald Trump’s Odds Of Winning The Election
Donald Trump sat at the top of the betting market for the whole of 2019. Even in February 2020, Donald Trump's odds implied he had a 61.9% chance of winning the 2020 election. However, there have been plenty of high-profile events which have prompted bookmakers to lower Trump’s chances of winning. Donald Trump's 2020 election odds now sit at 15/8, which implies he has just a 34.8% chance of securing another term.
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2020 US Presidential Election Odds
|
|
UK Odds |
Implied % Chance |
|
Donald Trump |
15/8 |
34.8% |
|
Joe Biden |
1/2 |
66.7% |
2020 US Election: Donald Trump Dominates The Betting
Joe Biden might be the bookies' choice to win the 2020 election, but he's certainly not been the popular pick with bettors on our market. Over the weekend, twice as many bets on oddschecker were placed on Donald Trump winning the election compared to Joe Biden.
Just under 65% of all bets placed on the 2020 US election this weekend were on Donald Trump, compared to the 31.7% placed on Joe Biden. Despite US residents being able to wager on sports, they still aren’t able to place bets on political markets. However, the US election is a truly global event, which is highlighted by one of our UK partners who has already taken $231 million on the outcome.
|
|
% Of Bets 25-26th October |
% Of Bets October |
Total % Of Bets |
|
Donald Trump |
64.6% |
61% |
53.4% |
|
Joe Biden |
31.7% |
32.2% |
23.9% |
2020 US Election Compared To 2016 US Election
Donald Trump has been the popular bet since the market opened, with the majority of bettors believing the 2020 election will follow the same pattern as 2016's shock result. Like Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton was the bookmakers favourite heading into the 2016 election. Even though the odds were stacked against him, 61% of wagers on the 2016 election were placed on Donald Trump.
As mentioned, Donald Trump’s 2016 election odds only implied he had a 16.7% chance of winning in late October. However, in October 2016 47.6% of wagers were placed on Trump.
Percentage Of Bets (on oddschecker) On Each Candidate for the 2016 & 2020 Elections
|
|
Hillary Clinton |
Donald Trump (2016) |
|
Joe Biden |
Donald Trump (2020) |
|
Jan 2016 |
14% |
23% |
Jan 2020 |
8% |
55% |
|
Feb 2016 |
26% |
12% |
Feb 2020 |
4% |
47% |
|
Mar 2016 |
8% |
14% |
Mar 2020 |
24% |
47% |
|
Apr 2016 |
7% |
15% |
Apr 2020 |
25% |
60% |
|
May 2016 |
7% |
47% |
May 2020 |
29% |
58% |
|
June 2016 |
15% |
60% |
June 2020 |
37% |
54% |
|
July 2016 |
25% |
49% |
July 2020 |
29% |
57% |
|
Aug 2016 |
22% |
39% |
Aug 2020 |
34% |
59% |
|
Sept 2016 |
31% |
35% |
Sept 2020 |
41% |
52% |
|
Oct 2016 |
32% |
48% |
Oct 2020 |
32% |
61% |
2016 v 2020 Election Odds Compared
Implied chance of winning (UK odds) on the 1st of each month
|
|
Hillary Clinton |
Donald Trump (2016) |
|
Joe Biden |
Donald Trump (2020) |
|
Jan 2016 |
58% (8/11) |
11% (8/1) |
Jan 2020 |
13% (13/2) |
52% (10/11) |
|
Feb 2016 |
52% (10/11) |
23% (10/3) |
Feb 2020 |
14% (6/1) |
57% (3/4) |
|
Mar 2016 |
62% (8/13) |
29% (5/2) |
Mar 2020 |
13% (13/2) |
60% (2/3) |
|
Apr 2016 |
68% (8/17) |
17% (5/1) |
Apr 2020 |
42% (11/8) |
50% (1/1) |
|
May 2016 |
74% (4/11) |
22% (7/2) |
May 2020 |
44% (13/10) |
50% (1/1) |
|
June 2016 |
65% (8/15) |
33% (2/1) |
June 2020 |
48% (11/10) |
48% (11/10) |
|
July 2016 |
74% (4/11) |
25% (3/1) |
July 2020 |
60% (4/6) |
36% (7/4) |
|
Aug 2016 |
65% (8/15) |
35% (15/8) |
Aug 2020 |
62% (5/8) |
36% (7/4) |
|
Sept 2016 |
74% (4/11) |
25% (3/1) |
Sept 2020 |
50% (1/1) |
50% (1/1) |
|
Oct 2016 |
70% (4/9) |
27% (11/4) |
Oct 2020 |
58% (5/7) |
42% (11/8) |
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