At odds of 66/1, here are five events on oddschecker that are more likely to happen than the Conservatives winning a majority in the upcoming general election.
The polls have been grim viewing for the Conservatives for quite some time, with the most recent results confirming many suspicions.
They suggest that Labour is poised to win with one of the largest majorities in the last decade.
According to oddschecker’s 2024 general election seat map (see below) Labour are the favourites to win an astounding 436 seats compared to the Conservatives 118.
It is beginning to look almost a certainty that the Conservatives won’t be able to pull this back.
Bookmakers have condemned Sunak’s party to just a 1.5% chance of winning a majority that would be needed to stay in power at longest odds of 66/1.
UK Election Odds
| Government | Best Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Labour Majority | 1/14 | 93% |
| Labour-Lib Dem Coalition | 20/1 | 4.8% |
| Labour Minority | 25/1 | 3.8% |
| Labour Minority | 33/1 | 2.9% |
| Conservative Majority | 66/1 | 1.5% |
The table above shows the betting odds for the Government after the Next General Election.
Five Things More Likely to Happen Than a Conservative Majority Win
Michelle Obama to win the 2024 US Presidential Election - 33/1
Michelle Obama, who is currently not even in the running to become president of the United States and has repeatedly ruled out doing so (even if Biden were to pull out), is half the price to win the US Presidential Election than the price given to the Conservatives to win the general elections by a majority.
Switzerland to win Euro 2024 - 50/1
Switzerland, who have never won a major European trophy let alone won the European Championship are a shorter price to do so at the upcoming Euro 2024 tournament than the Conservatives are to win a majority come July 4th.
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Harry Styles to be the next James Bond - 66/1
The former One Direction singer, Harry Styles is the same price as a Conservative majority.
The 30-year-old singer has 46 other potential candidates before him in the odds market to become the next James Bond, including industry stars such as Idris Elba, Tom Hardy and Academy and Bafta award winning Cillian Murphy.
Aston Villa to win the Premier League next season - 66/1
This past season saw the Villains finish in the Champions League places for the first time since it was rebranded in 1992.
Nevertheless, Villa were not even close to winning (23 points off) and have never won the Premier League.
Their last era of domination came in the early 1900’s when the English top flight was named the First Division.
Plymouth Argyle to win the Championship 24/25 - 66/1
Plymouth Argyle avoided relegation on the last day of the season and have never finished in the top 10 in the Championship in the clubs history.
They work with the lowest wage budget in the English second flight and are expected to be one of the relegation favourites for the upcoming season.
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