Reform have shaken things up in the 2024 General Election, but how do you bet on Reform UK ahead of Thursday's vote? Learn more below.
Nigel Farage and his Reform UK party have been making late noise during this General Election, but how much of an impact can they really make?
Farage looks nailed on to win the seat in Clacton, the first time he will win a seat in parliament, at the eighth time of trying. Will anyone else actually win a seat for Reform, or is Farage going to be their sole representative in the House?
At one stage, Rerform UK actually leapfrogged the Conservatives in the polling, but now it stands that Reform are behind Labour and the Conservatives.
Let's look at the latest odds and betting markets focused on Reform UK as we look at how to bet on Nigel Farage's party ahead of the 2024 General Election.
Latest Reform Odds for the 2024 General Election
Here are the latest Reform odds in Key Betting markets for the 2024 General Election.
Next UK General Election - Most Seats Odds
Here are the latest odds for each party to win the Most Seats at the 2024 General Election.
- Labour (1/80)
- Reform UK (80/1)
- Conservative (150/1)
- Liberal Democrat (750/1)
- Green Party (1000/1)
Reform UK are second in the betting when it comes to winning the Most Seats in the 2024 General Election. With Labour 1/80 to win though, there is no real point in betting in this market. What this does show is a complete lack of faith in the Conservative Party ahead of this 2024 General Election.
Paddy Power are offering the best odds on Reform UK winning the most seats, and you can bet £10, get £50 when you sign up with the bookmaker today, ahead of the General Election.
Reform Party Seats - How Many Seats Will Reform Win in the 2024 General Election?
Right now, it looks like Nigel Farage is the only Reform UK candidate who is a shoo-in to win his seat. Farage is 1/7 to win Clacton, suggesting there is an 87.5% chance he wins the seat.
Richard Tice the businessman and chair of the Reform UK Party and beyond bankrolling the party before Farage took over and attracted donors, he now has the chance to win an important seat. He is currently the 1/1 favourite to win in Boston and Skegness. He is odds-on to win with multiple bookmakers, with the Conservative candidate, Matt Warman his clearest challenger. It is hard to split the two in this race.
Perhaps the person that will have the biggest impact on this market is Lee Anderson. Whether it is Farage and Tice that win their seat, or just Farage doesn't affect bettors, as the betting is set at 0, 1-2, 3-4, 5-6, and 7+ seats. If Anderson can win in Ashfield though, we are then looking at potentially 3-4 winners.
Anderson is the 6/5 second-favourite to win Ashfield, behind the Labour candidate, Rhea Keehn. This is a huge seat when it comes to determining your bets in this Reform Party Seats market.
Former Southampton FC Chairman, Rupert Lowe is running for Reform in Great Yarmouth and is 2/1 to win the seat behind Labour candidate, Keir Cozens.
The betting in Castle Point looks wide open, with the Conservative candidate slightly odds-on at 4/5. With that said, Labour are just 2/1 and Reform are 4/1, so opinion is split in this constituency. Keiron McGill will look to unseat Rebecca Harris of the Conservatives here. This looks more of a long shot than the others, but still a possibility.
Sean Matthews is the biggest threat to Health Secretary, Victoria Atkins in Louth and Horncastle, and Matthews is 4/1 to win another seat for Reform. Atkins is 2/5 to hold her seat.
Stephen Conlay was polling well for Reform in Basildon and Billericay, but is now the 4/1 outsider to claim the long-standing Conservative seat. Richard Holden has been chosen to run for the Conservatives here, but it is 300 miles away from his former constituency. Will that put voters off, and leave the window open for Conlay?
Because of the opportunity of each of these 7 candidates potentially winning, the odds suggest it is as likely that all seven get in, as it is that just Farage or Farage and Tice get in.
Both "1-2 seats" and "7 seats" are currently the two shortest betting options in this market at 2/1, but is 3-4 value at 11/2? With Lee Anderson and Richard Tice both strong challengers in their constituencies, it would be a surprise if these two joined Farage as a trio of Reform MPs.
Here are the odds for Reform Party Seats.
- 7 or more (2/1)
- 1-2 (2/1)
- 3-4 (11/2)
- 5-6 (7/1)
- 0 (8/1)
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Conservative vs Reform UK Vote Share
Here are the odds for the head-to-head battle between the Conservatives and Reform UK. These odds were closer when Reform first started gaining momentum, but with the recent party fallout where we have seen two candidates leave the party, there is an even bigger divide now.
- Conservatives (1/8)
- Reform (6/1)
While 6/1 are the best odds on Reform, it is BetMGM that offers the best combination of price (11/2) and an exciting welcome offer. Claim the BetMGM sign up offer below and you will bet £10, get £60 in free bets when you bet on this market.
Reform UK Vote Share Odds
Here are the latest odds for Reform's vote share ahead of tomorrow's General Election.
- 20% or Higher (4/1)
- 16.00 to 17.99% (9/2)
- 18.00 to 19.99% (5/1)
- 14.00 to 15.99% (5/1)
- 12.00 to 13.99% (11/2)
- 10.00 to 11.99% (12/1)
- 8.00 to 9.99% (25/1)
- 6.00 to 7.99% (66/1)
- 4.00 to 5.99% (150/1)
- 3.99% or lower (200/1)
Based on the latest poll trackers, Rerfom UK are polling at 15.6%, making 14.00 to 15.99% a bet at 5/1.
You can bet on this Reform UK vote share market with Sky Bet and claim £30 in free bets if you sign up for an account today.
