Nigel Farage is running for Prime Minister for the eighth time, what seats are Reform most likely to win?
Nigel Farage announced his late decision to run for Prime Minister as the leader of Reform UK at the start of June, putting his hat in the ring for the eighth time in his political career.
Though it is almost a certainty that the former UKIP leader will not become PM this election, he hopes to establish himself as a leading candidate for 2029.
He will use this election to take the first steps in establishing themselves as opposition to Labour and as a serious right wing option for voters to consider.
Farage hopes that the elections will result in the Reform Party establishing a "bridgehead" in the Commons that he can use as a springboard to build a national campaign in the next five years.
Lets take a look at which seats Reform UK has the best chance of winning in order to establish this "bridgehead".
Reform Constituency Map
Reform Seats Odds
Reforms best chance at winning a seat in today's election lies in Clacton, the constituency that Farage will be running in. You can read more about it here.
The constituency, known for its high percentage of Leave voters, may have influenced Farage's decision to run there. It is also notable for being the only constituency to elect a UKIP MP in a general election.
Farage is currently a best price of 1/7 at various bookmakers to win the seat for Reform UK.
Their second best chance lies in Boston and Skegness.
Similar to Clacton, Boston and Skegness had a very high percentage of voters supporting Brexit, with over 75% voting to leave—the highest in the country.
In 2015, UKIP finished second in this constituency, falling 4,336 votes short of defeating the Tories.
Richard Tice will contest this seat in the upcoming elections, he has been given a best price of 1/1 to win the seat giving him a 50% implied chance.
Back Reform to win the Boston and Skegness seat directly through oddschecker at a guaranteed best price here.
Their next best chance lies in Ashfield where Reform are also 6/4 best price at bet365 to win the seat.
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