Kamala Harris chances of winning the US presidential election are increasing rapidly.
The US election, scheduled for November 5th, is taking an unexpected turn. Just over two weeks ago, a Donald Trump victory seemed almost certain.
President Joe Biden, despite his earlier confidence and determination to face Trump in a 2020 rematch, withdrew from the race due to mounting pressure from fellow Democrats.
Biden's campaign was marred by several significant missteps, including mistakenly referring to Vice President Kamala Harris as "Vice President Trump" and a debate performance that left many viewing him as weak and confused.
These errors made him an easy target for Trump's campaign, which focused on portraying Trump as a strong leader in stark contrast to a faltering Biden.
However, with Kamala Harris stepping into the fray, the election landscape has dramatically shifted. Harris has invigorated the Democratic campaign, and what seemed impossible weeks ago now appears within reach.
Her odds of winning have surged, with some giving her as much as a 52% chance of victory, and betting odds as favorable as 10/11.
The contest has transformed, making it a closely watched and highly competitive race as November 5th approaches.
US Election Odds
| Candidate | Best Odds | Implied Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 5/6 | 55% |
| Kamala Harris | 11/10 | 48% |
Who is the favourite to win the US Election?
Donald Trump is currently the marginal favourite to win the US Election, with a best price of 5/6 at various bookmakers.
The former President was as short as 7/20 (implying a 74% chance of victory) the day before Joe Biden withdrew from the race. However, since Kamala Harris has taken over for the Democrats, Trump's chances have decreased to 55%.
Harris' strong start to her campaign has significantly reshaped the narrative of the presidential race. Her extremely popular first campaign speech shifted the perception from a powerful Republican party facing a feeble and inadequate Democratic opposition, to a narrative of a determined prosecutor defending the rule of law against a convicted felon who attempted to undermine it.
Kamala Harris Odds
| Candidate | Best Price | Worst Price |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala Harris | 11/10 | 10/11 |
Kamala Harris is a best price of 11/10 at various bookmakers including bet365 to win the US Election.
She can be found as short as 10/11 elsewhere.
The Vice-President's odds were as long as 9/2 the day before Joe Biden announced he would be stepping down and endorsed Harris as his potential successor calling his decision to make her vice president four years ago the best he ever made.
Harris VP Odds
| Candidate | Best Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Shapiro | 8/15 | 65% |
| Tim Walz | 7/2 | 22% |
| Mark Kelly | 14/1 | 7% |
| Andy Beshear | 20/1 | 5% |
Vice-President Kamala Harris has interviewed potential contenders to be her running mate on Sunday, ahead of a battleground tour next week.
Among those who travelled to Washington, DC, to meet Ms Harris were Governor Josh Shapiro, Senator Mark Kelly and Governor Tim Walz.
Josh Shapiro, the governor of Pennsylvania, is currently the favourite to be Kamala Harris' running mate, with the best odds of 8/15 available at Sky Bet.
Shapiro, a long-term opponent of Donald Trump, is a popular figure in the key swing state of Pennsylvania, which could be crucial for Harris in securing a victory there.
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