We look at how the odds have changed since Trump survived an assassination attempt while speaking at a campaign rally in Pennsylvania.
Donald Trump’s campaign has centered on attacking the Biden-Harris administration's record on immigration, inflation, and crime.
Despite facing legal challenges and lingering controversy from the Capitol riot, Trump continues to enjoy strong support among his base, with large crowds attending his rallies.
His strategy is to present himself as a decisive leader, contrasting Kamala Harris’s relative inexperience.
The race has tightened significantly since Harris became the Democratic nominee. When Biden dropped out, Trump led by nearly five points in key battleground states, but recent polls now show a margin of just one point or less separating the two candidates in several crucial states.
Lets take a look at how Trump's odds to become the next US President have changed throughout his campaign trail.
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Key Dates and Odds in Trump's Campaign Trail
13/07 - Donald Trump was injured in a shooting during a Pennsylvania rally in what the FBI says was an attempt on his life.
15/07 - Trump confirms the selection of JD Vance, once one of his staunchest critics, as the Republican Vice Presidential Nominee
17/07 - Trump reaches shortest odds to win the 2024 Election since the betting market opened following the conclusion of the 2020 Presidential Election at 1/3.
21/07 - Joe Biden announces that he will not be running for a second term in the upcoming presidential election, turning the US election landscape on its head with just under four months before the nation takes to the polls.
06/08 - Democrat nominee Kamala Harris announces that Tim Walz would be her running mate in the upcoming US election. Trumps odds reach 10/11.
09/08 - Harris reaches a shortest price to win the US Election, with bet365 making her a 4/5 chance against Trump at evens.
21/08 - Trump regains his status as the bookmakers’ favourite at a shortest price 5/6
23/08 - Kamala Harris officially becomes the Democratic candidate for US president
09/09 - Trump holds a shorter price than Harris on every bookmaker offering US politics odds through oddschecker the night before ABC News debate
03/09 - Trump chooses to give the last closing statement after winning virtual coin flip. Harris was subsequently given the choice of where to stand on stage and selected the left lectern, meaning TV viewers will see her on the right side of their screens.
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Trump vs Harris Current Odds
| Candidate | Best Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 10/11 | 52% |
| Kamala Harris | 11/10 | 48% |
