Next US President Odds: Who is the favourite before tonight's debate?

Next US President Odds: Who is the favourite before tonight's debate?

Donald Trump holds a slim lead in the race for the next U.S. presidency as he prepares to face Kamala Harris in their first debate tonight.

As the 2024 presidential race intensifies, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are set to face off in their first debate tonight, marking a crucial turning point in the presidential race.

Both candidates are currently locked in a tight race, with Trump holding a narrow lead over Harris, according to recent polls and the betting market.

Tonight’s debate, which will be held at the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia and broadcast live on ABC News, represents the first direct confrontation between Harris and Trump.

For Harris, it’s an opportunity to define herself to voters and demonstrate her readiness for the presidency.

For Trump, it’s a chance to reinforce his lead and challenge Harris’s rising profile. As both candidates prepare to make their case, this debate could significantly influence the final stages of the race.

Lets take a look at the betting markets before the debate takes place tonight.

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Next US President Odds

Candidate Best Odds Implied Probability
Donald Trump 10/11 52%
Kamala Harris 11/10 48%

 

Trump vs Harris: Who is the favourite to win?

Trump, the former President, is narrowly favored with odds of 10/11 at Starsports, while Harris, the Vice President, is just behind at 11/10 with Ladbrokes.

This tight competition marks a significant shift from earlier in the campaign when Trump was a strong favourite.

Just days before Joe Biden withdrew from the race, Trump’s odds were as short as 7/20, suggesting a 74% chance of victory, whereas Harris’s odds were as long as 9/2 (18% implied chance).

While Trump remains the most likely candidate to win, his chances have decreased to 52% while Harris's have significantly increased to 48%.

The Democrats, who once trailed by nearly five percentage points on average in the key battleground states when Biden was in charge, now find themselves either leading or closely trailing by less than one percentage point to Trump in these states.

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