Donald Trump has regained momentum in the U.S. presidential race, narrowly overtaking Kamala Harris in both betting odds and polls.
The U.S. presidential race has tightened dramatically, with Donald Trump overtaking Kamala Harris in both betting odds and recent polls for the first time since the September 10th presidential debate.
Trump’s resurgence comes amid a wave of hardline statements on immigration and trade, energizing his base and shifting momentum in his favor.
Meanwhile, Harris is focusing on key battleground states, countering Trump’s narrative with attacks on misinformation.
Since 1866, the betting favourite has only lost twice. The most recent upset occurred in 2016, when Donald Trump defied the odds to defeat Hillary Clinton, who had been favored throughout the campaign.
The other major upset came in 1948, when Democrat Harry Truman overcame 8/1 odds to secure victory over Republican Thomas Dewey.
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US Election Odds
Candidate | Odds | Implied Probability |
---|---|---|
Donald Trump | 5/6 | 55% |
Kamala Harris | 6/5 | 45% |
Who is the favourite to win the US Election?
Donald Trump has emerged as the narrow favorite in the U.S. presidential race, with odds of 5/6 at AKBets (55%) compared to Kamala Harris at 6/5 with Boylesports (45%).
Over the weekend, 64% of bets on the U.S. election through oddschecker have backed Trump, while only 36% supported Harris.
The latest average odds across bookmakers have Trump at 8/11 and Harris at 11/10, underscoring the tightening competition as Election Day approaches on Tuesday 5 November 2024.