As American voters head to the polls, election odds reveal a tight race for the presidency.
Betting markets have long been an important tool in predicting the presidential race with the betting favourite winning 26 of the last 31 elections since 1900.
These markets offer an alternative forecast that combines public sentiment with expert insights on who’s likely to win.
Unlike traditional polls, which capture voter preferences at a given moment, betting odds weave together various influences — from the latest polls and campaign events to market sentiment — to give a more dynamic view of each candidate’s chances.
Both candidates have made their final efforts to sway voters last night with Kamala Harris addressing supporters in Philadelphia, sharing an optimistic vision and suggesting that victory is within reach.
Meanwhile, in Michigan, Donald Trump reinforced his focus on economic strength and strict immigration.
As American voters head to polling stations across the nation today and the race for presidency begins to reach a conclusion, oddschecker provides a clear snapshot of how the markets are predicting the outcomes.
Betfred
- Huge range of regular promotions
- 24/7 live chat service
- PickYourPunt builder for custom bets
US Election Odds
| Candidate | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Trump | 4/6 | 60% |
| Harris | 13/8 | 38% |
Donald Trump has been given a 60% chance of winning with bookmakers such as Starsports and PricedUp offering best odds of 4/6.
If you, like Donald Trump and Elon Musk, view betting markets as a more reliable indicator of the election race, then why not seize the opportunity to claim an incredible 30/1 odds on the current favourite winning?
New customers can get a massive price of 30/1 on the former-president to win the election with Bet Victor!
To find out more about this offer click here or claim the offer here.
Who is the favourite to win the US Election?
The last six public polls mirror the close contest that previous polls have revealed in the presidential race, with some results tied and others indicating a slight lead for Kamala Harris.
Kamala Harris is available at a best price of 13/8 with Bet Victor and bet365 as things stand, but can be backed at a massive 50/1 for new customers with the same bookmaker here.
As we approach election day, public opinion suggests the race may be too close to call, but following the money could offer a clearer picture of the presidential contest.
Currently, Donald Trump is favoured at 4/6 (Bet Victor), indicating a 60% chance of victory, while Kamala Harris has a 38% implied chance based on the best prices available for each candidate at the time of this article's publication.
Although Trump's odds have slightly decreased from the 67% chance he held last week, confidence in his potential win remains strong, with 57% of bets placed through oddschecker backing him.
Interestingly, stock markets appear to be aligning more with the betting trends than with public opinion polls. Analysts at Piper Sandler note that stocks expected to benefit from a Trump victory are on the rise, with a Trump-focused portfolio, including oil and defense stocks, increasing by 3% in October. In contrast, Kamala Harris's portfolio, which emphasises renewable energy, has seen a decline of 7%.
Whether you trust the polls or the betting markets, if you’re considering placing a bet on the U.S. presidential election, then be sure to check out the £40 in free bets Betfair are offering new customers betting on the election below.
