We reveal the latest odds for who could replace Starmer as the next Labour Leader.
Labour leader and Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer is facing a turbulent period in office, with mounting pressure from within his own party. Recent controversies, most notably the fallout from the Peter Mandelson appointment and ongoing questions over his leadership style, have left Starmer’s position under intense scrutiny.
He is 2/9 to exit the Government in 2026.
Calls for change have grown louder, highlighted by public interventions from figures such as Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar, while opinion polls and looming by-elections add to the uncertainty surrounding his premiership.
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Next Labour Leader Odds & Favourite
In this unsettled political landscape, several potential successors are being discussed:
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Angela Rayner 5/2 with Betfred – The former deputy prime minister and champion of Labour’s soft Left remains the clear favourite in internal polling. Rayner’s working-class background and media-savvy approach make her popular among party members, though her past tax controversy could be a hurdle.
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Wes Streeting 11/2 with Starsports – Health Secretary and rising star on the party’s Right, Streeting is known for his sharp media presence and ambitious political manoeuvres. While he appeals to centrists, his association with Blairite factions may limit support among the Left.
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Ed Miliband 6/1 with Betfred – Energy and Net Zero Secretary, Miliband remains a respected figure among grassroots members. His previous leadership experience gives him credibility, though past gaffes and the “Ed Stone” legacy continue to shadow his appeal.
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Shabana Mahmood 9/1 with various bookies – Home Secretary and emerging figure on Labour’s Blue faction, Mahmood has gained attention for her firm stance on immigration and rapid rise in government. Her appeal may be limited by perceived ideological distance from core party activists.
Next Prime Minister Odds & Favourite
| Candidate | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Angela Rayner | 14/5 | PricedUp |
| Wes Streeting | 13/2 | BetMGM |
| Ed Miliband | 7/1 | PricedUp |
| Shabana Mahmood | 12/1 | Betfred |
| Nigel Farage | 16/1 | Betfred |
The four candidates for next Labour leader are dominating this market but Nigel Farage has emerged as the fifth favourite to become the next Prime Minister at 16/1 with Betfred.
While not a Labour figure, Farage’s Reform UK party has been making waves in polls, illustrating the appetite for alternatives to the traditional party establishment. Achieving the premiership would be a major challenge under the current electoral system.
The current Madelson fiasco and the fallout will only support Farage as he accuses this Labour government of state failure.
