Polling stations open tomorrow as we approach a verdict on the Gorton and Denton By-Election.
Voters in Gorton and Denton head to the polls tomorrow in what has rapidly evolved from a routine Labour defence into one of the most unpredictable parliamentary by-elections in recent memory.
Triggered by the resignation of former MP Andrew Gwynne following ill health and controversy over offensive messages, the contest has become about far more than replacing a local representative.
For Keir Starmer, it is an early political stress test in Greater Manchester. For his opponents, it is an opportunity to demonstrate that Labour’s dominance in urban strongholds can no longer be taken for granted.
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Gorton and Denton By-Election Odds
| Party | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Green Party | 8/13 | William Hill |
| Reform | 10/3 | AKBets |
| Labour | 9/2 | Betfred |
Who is the betting favourite in the Gorton and Denton By-Election?
The betting odds for the Gorton and Denton by-election closely mirror the volatility highlighted in recent polling. The Green Party are favourites at 8/13 with William Hill, reflecting surveys that have put them narrowly ahead, polling around 30% in some constituency models.
Reform UK follows at 10/3 with AKBets, echoing MRP polling that suggests they could capture a similar share of the vote.
Labour, despite a 13,000‑vote majority from 2024, is priced at 9/2 with Betfred - a market position consistent with polls showing them trailing both the Greens and Reform, and with a striking number of voters still undecided.
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When is the Gorton & Denton By-Election?
The Gorton & Denton by-election is scheduled to take place on Thursday 26th February 2026. Polling stations across the constituency will open from 7 am to 10 pm, with results expected later that evening once counting is complete.
Gorton & Denton By-Election Prediction
| Party | % of Bets |
|---|---|
| Green | 38% |
| Reform | 37% |
| Labour | 20% |
The table above shows the percentage of bets taken through oddschecker on the winner of the Gorton & Denton By-Election.
