Killers of the Flower Moon, Martin Scorsese’s latest blockbuster starring Leonardo di Caprio, is set for international release on Wednesday 18th October.
Killers of the Flower Moon had long been the betting favourite to win the ‘Best Picture Award’ at the 2024 Oscars in March.
However, the film was usurped as the bookmakers’ favourite for the award following the release of Oppenheimer in late July.
Christopher Nolan’s World War II biographic was the third highest-grossing film of 2023 (Behind Barbie & Super Mario Bros.) at $942 million.
These two films have made it a two-horse race to win the ‘Best Picture Award’, taking three-quarter of total bets in this market over the last six months.
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Oscars Best Picture Betting Odds
| Title | Odds | Implied % Chance of Winning |
|---|---|---|
| Oppenheimer | 5/4 | 44.4% |
| Killers of the Flower Moon | 5/2 | 28.6% |
| Poor Things | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Past Lives | 9/1 | 10% |
| The Color Purple | 12/1 | 7.7% |
Quote from oddschecker’s Leon Blackman: “Over the past seven days on oddschecker, we’ve seen the narrative shift from Oppenheimer to Killers of the Flower Moon in the Best Picture Award betting market. A staggering 71% of bets with us have been on Martin Scorsese’s film to win the award, compared to only 21% in the two months prior.
“In the week following the release of Oppenheimer in late July, we saw the odds shift from 4/1 to the 2/1 favourite for the award. This week will be another pivotal one in the betting market as we await what effect Killers of the Flower Moon’s public release will have on the odds.”
Who is the favourite to win at the Oscars?
Oppenheimer remains the favourite to win Best Picture at the Oscars 2024, with most bookmakers pricing it at 5/4 (best price 7/4 through BoyleSports). However, Killers of the Flower Moon is a close second favourite at 2/1 with some bookmakers (7/2 on Sky Bet).
