There are clear favourites to win Saturday’s grand final as we enter Eurovision week.
It’s Eurovision Song Contest week, which means only one thing: a titanic battle of Europop anthems to determine singalong supremacy. Settle down, strap in and switch on for three nights of high drama and outrageous outfits.
The first semi-final will take place on Tuesday 13th May, where 15 nations will battle it out for 10 final places, before the second semi-final on Thursday 15th, where 10 out of 16 will make Saturday’s grand final, this year hosted in Basel, Switzerland.
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Eurovision Betting Odds
| Eurovision Winner | Best Odds | Implied Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Sweden | 6/5 | 46% |
| Austria | 11/4 | 27% |
| France | 12/1 | 8% |
| Israel | 19/1 | 5% |
| Belgium | 25/1 | 4% |
As ever, it’s a tough old competition to predict even if the latest Eurovision betting odds suggest the bookmakers think they have it sussed.
The separation of jury and public voting means the night will almost certainly go down to the wire, making for not only an unpredictable evening, but an unpredictable market.
The benefit is that there are some very long odds at play and there is a huge selection of excellent prices to choose from. This year, you can plump as high as 750/1 with Sporting Index for last year’s second place, Croatia, or 2011 shock winners, Azerbaijan.
Shock is the key word here. The beauty of Eurovision is that long bets very well could come off. After all, it is known for its upsets.
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Who is the favourite to win Eurovision 2025?
The out-and-out Eurovision 2025 favourites with the bookmakers are perennial pop powerhouses, Sweden, who come in with a left-field entry of Swedish-speaking Finnish comedy three-piece, KAJ.
However, with the stakes so high and all other charges ready, there is an array of wannabe-victors awaiting the chance to claim ultimate accolade in pop music in the 12,400 seater St. Jakobshalle stadium.
Sweden’s song ‘Bara Bada Bastu’ or ‘Let’s Just Sauna’ has been praised by critics and is down with some bookies at 10/11, while you’ll find best odds of 6/5 with BetVictor.
Sweden are closely followed by Austria (11/4 Sky Bet), who will be hoping for a first win in just over a decade. There will be high expectation that this year’s entrant, JJ, and his tune ‘Wasted Love’ can romp to victory like their last winner, the iconic Conchita Wurst.
We fall to the chasing pack where the odds explode and we all begin to hope for a major upset. France lead the charge with Louane’s emotional ballad, ‘Maman’, about the loss of her mother to cancer when Louane was just 17. Paddy Power are offering 12/1 on French triumph.
The top five is rounded out by Israel and Finland. The former’s participation is once again confirmed despite ongoing controversy. Yuval Raphael’s ‘New Day Will Rise’ has a best price of 20/1 with AK Bets.
Finland also looks a very interesting shout, Erika Vikman’s crudely-themed, disco-electronic bop ‘Ich komme’ is one for the more hopeful at 28/1 with Ladbrokes.
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Who won last year’s Eurovision?
Switzerland’s Nemo took the Eurovision crown in 2024 with the ear-worm ‘The Code’, coming in at 5/1 on the day of the final (4/1 at the start of the week).
Settling for second place was big favourite Baby Lasagna (odds on at times) for Croatia with Rim Tim Tagi Dim, giving hope for everyone going into this week.
Nemo pipped Baby Lasagna by 44 points thanks, largely, to an extremely strong showing in the jury votes. The jury’s feelings are, unfortunately, impossible to predict until the final when their votes come through.
This year’s Swiss entrant, Zoë Më, takes an automatic final place with the track ‘Voyage’ and comes in at a best, but very long, odds of 66/1 with Sky Bet.
However, aligning with the public might be the best indicator of where to invest your cash. The pre-competition OGAE Awards, which ranks entries before things start via 40 Eurovision fan-groups across the continent, has Sweden at No.1, followed by Austria, Netherlands, Finland and Malta.
The OGAE awards correctly predicted three of the top five in 2024. So, with Austria, Finland and Sweden already earmarked as favourites with bookies, looking to the Spread Ex-backed 50/1 Malta and 30/1 Netherlands could be the shock money-spinners come Saturday night.
