After last night's recoupling, who is favourite to win Love Island?
With the villa doors set to close on Season 13 in less than a fortnight, the race to be crowned Love Island's winning couple is heating up just as fast as the drama inside it.
The last few episodes have thrown up fresh recouplings, a couple of tense love triangles, and one blow-up that's got the whole villa (and viewers at home) picking sides - all of which is starting to shape how the bookies see the final outcome.
A recoupling forced the girls to choose their partners, and it reignited not one but two love triangles at once. Elicia switched her allegiance from Finley to Aidan, despite having picked Finley only days earlier, leaving Aidan to admit afterwards that his head was still with Priya. Meanwhile Ellie chose to stick with Finley regardless of his recent wandering eye, and the pair are clearly still working through some trust issues.
The most talked-about moment of the night, though, had nothing to do with a recoupling at all. Priya and Julia clashed after Priya accused Julia of overstepping in her business with Aidan, telling her bluntly to stay out of it.
Elsewhere, the villa's more settled pairings continued to look strong. Yasmin and Tommy have made things exclusive, while Jasmine and Kavan appear to have found their footing after Kavan cut ties with Casa Amor's Charleen for good. Martha and Jordon, Angelista and Simba, and Mica and Samraj all remain coupled up too, giving the villa a solid core of couples heading into the closing stretch.
Who is favourite to win Love Island?
As things stand, Lorenzo Alessi and Julia Majchrzak sit at the top of the betting, priced at 5/4 (ladbrokes) to win. It's a slightly surprising position given Julia's rocky night with Priya, but the couple have been consistent villa favourites for weeks and were voted the public's top pair just before this drama unfolded .
Close behind are Kavan Murphy and Jasmine Muller at 7/4. Their path to this point hasn't been smooth - Kavan's Casa Amor entanglement with Charleen threatened to derail things - but the pair's decision to recommit to each other has clearly resonated, and they're now seen as one of the strongest genuine connections left in the villa.
Finley Maddock and Ellie Chadwick follow at 3/1. Their rollercoaster with bombshell Elicia has made them one of the most-watched couples in the villa, for better or worse, and while Ellie's patience has been tested, the couple's history together still gives them a real shot heading into the final stretch.
Rounding out the front-runners are Tommy Stagg and Yasmin Hadlow at 5/1. They've largely stayed out of the headline drama, quietly building a connection that's turned exclusive in recent days - often exactly the kind of low-key, steady pairing that ends up overperforming its odds by the time the final vote comes around.
Love Island 2026 Betting
Since the airing of last night's episode, Aidan Murphy & Priya Jaswal have received the most bets through oddschecker with Lorenzo Alessi & Julia Majchrzak following closely behind.
