Who is the favourite to win the Love Island?
The countdown to the Love Island 2026 final is well and truly on, with just a handful of couples left battling for the £50,000 prize and the title of this year's winning pair. After weeks of bombshells, Casa Amor drama and public votes, the betting market is beginning to separate the genuine contenders from the outsiders.
With the final set to take place on Monday, 27 July, bookmakers have a clear favourite, although there is still plenty of time for one last twist to shake up the market.
Latest Love Island Winner Odds
According to the latest Oddschecker market, the current favourites are:
- Lorenzo Alessi & Julia Majchrzak – 7/10
- Kavan Murphy & Jasmine Muller – 2/1
- Tommy Stagg & Yasmin Hadlow – 5/1
- Aidan Murphy & Priya Jaswal – 50/1
Lorenzo & Julia Lead the Market
Lorenzo Alessi and Julia Majchrzak have established themselves as the couple to beat after consistently enjoying strong public support throughout the closing stages of the competition. They currently trade as 7/10 favourites, implying bookmakers believe they are more likely than not to lift the trophy.
Their relationship has remained one of the strongest in the villa, avoiding much of the drama that affected several rival couples, and viewers recently voted them their favourite pairing, further strengthening their position at the head of the betting.
Kavan & Jasmine Still in the Hunt
The closest challengers remain Kavan Murphy and Jasmine Muller at 2/1.
The pair have steadily grown in popularity during the latter stages of the series and remain the biggest threat to the favourites. Should public sentiment shift during the final week, they look the most likely couple capable of causing an upset.
Tommy & Yasmin Could Spring a Surprise
Tommy Stagg and Yasmin Hadlow are priced at 5/1 and remain firmly in contention.
While they have ground to make up on the market leaders, Love Island finals have often produced surprise results when undecided viewers rally behind a couple in the closing days. With another public vote still to come, they cannot be ruled out entirely.
Love Island Top 3 Finish Odds
While the outright winner market has attracted most of the attention, the Top 3 Finish betting offers another fascinating insight into how bookmakers expect the final standings to unfold.
As it stands, Lorenzo Alessi & Julia Majchrzak, Kavan Murphy & Jasmine Muller, and Tommy Stagg & Yasmin Hadlow are the overwhelming favourites to finish inside the top three, reflecting the strong public support each couple has built throughout the series. Their prices suggest bookmakers see a significant gap between the leading trio and the remaining finalists.
Meanwhile, Aidan Murphy & Priya Jaswal are considered outsiders to break into the top three, meaning they would likely need a dramatic late surge in public votes to upset the current market expectations.
With multiple public votes still capable of shifting momentum before the live final, the Top 3 market offers an alternative way to back the strongest couples without needing them to go on and win the series. However, based on the latest odds, bookmakers believe the current leading trio are firmly on course to occupy the podium places.
