The EV Eagle picked out Three winners from five bets in Friday's column. Check out Saturday's best bets here!
The EV Eagle has landed on Oddschecker!
In this new daily tipping series, the EV Eagle picks out their best bets from our Positive Expected Value tool, one of the premium tools available to Oddscheker+ subscribers.
In today's article, the Eagle has picked out the four best EV bets for Saturday. They went 3/5 in yesterday's column.
How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?
When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.
Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.
Yesterday's Results:
Shaedon Sharpe - Over 4.5 Rebounds - 1pt - WON @ 23/20
Mikal Bridges - Under 17.5 Points - 1pt - WON @ 1/1
Jaden McDaniels - Over 4.5 Rebounds - 1pt - LOST
Tyrese Maxey - Over 3.5 Rebounds - 2pts - WON @ 4/5
Josh Hart - Under 5.5 Assists - 1pt - LOST
Tip 1: LaMelo Ball – Over 6.5 Assists vs OKC – 1pt
1/1 best price available with Betway.
LaMelo Ball has gone over 6.5 assists in all of his last 10 games, including three of the last times he faced the Thunder. Returning from injury, he managed 10 assists in just 27 minutes in his last outing, and with no overtime played, he should see more minutes this time.
Our AI model gives this selection a 76% probability, compared to 50% implied by the odds, generating a 52% positive expected value.
Bet365
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Tip 2: Jock Landale – Over 9.5 Points vs CLE – 1pt
1/1 best price available with Quinn Bet.
Jock Landale has scored over 9.5 points in 8 of his last 10 games, making him a consistent scoring option for his team.
This selection carries a 62% AI probability, with 50% implied by the odds, giving it a 23% expected value.
Tip 3: Santi Aldama – Over 13.5 Points vs CLE – 1pt
13/11 best price available with Unibet.
Santi Aldama has exceeded 13.5 points in 7 of his last 10 games, averaging 12.7 points per contest this season. Cleveland allows the second most points to power forwards in the league, and in recent matchups Aldama has scored 14, 19, 12, and 16 points, showing a strong scoring upside.
AI rates this bet at 60% probability, compared to 46% implied by the odds, producing a 31% positive expected value.
Betway
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Tip 4: Ben Sheppard – Under 9.5 Points vs TOR – 1.5pts
10/11 best price available with Ladbrokes.
Ben Sheppard has failed to exceed 9.5 points in 9 of his last 10 games. The promising young Pacers guard has struggled this season, averaging just 6.9 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 1.7 assists on 38.4% eFG% and 20.8% from three. His inability to score efficiently or lead the offense makes this under probable.
Our AI tool rates this bet at 64% probability, compared to 52% implied by the odds, producing a 23% positive expected value.
Tip 5: Josh Flint - 1+ Shot - Gillingham vs Crawley - 0.75 pts
Best price 23/20 available with QuinnBet.
Gillingham face Crawley at home this evening and defender Josh Flint looks good value for a shot.
He has managed at least one in eight of his last 14 games and has has nine shots in his last seven games.
The centre back often finds himself with the ball on the edge of the box and isn't afraid to let fly with six of his shots this season coming from outside the box in League 2.
Our AI tool rates this bet at 68% probability, compared to 46% implied by the odds, producing a 48% positive expected value.
