Free Betting Tips Today: EV Eagle's Best NBA Bets for Thursday

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In this new daily tipping series, the EV Eagle picks out their best bets from our Positive Expected Value tool, one of the premium tools available to Oddscheker+ subscribers.

In today's article, the Eagle has picked out three best EV bets for Thursday, 20th November, as Milwaukee Bucks face Tyrese Maxey’s 76ers in the headline match.

How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

Yesterday's Results:

Davion Mitchell - Over 8.5 Points vs Golden State - 1.25pts - 5/6 - Lost

Bam Adebayo - Under 9.5 Rebounds vs Golden State - 1.25pts - 5/6 - Won

Kevin Durant - Over 3.5 Assists vs Cleveland Cavaliers - 1.25pts - 17/20 - Lost

Running P+L: +3.79

Tip 1: Santi Aldama - Under 16.5 Points vs Sacramento Kings - 1.25pts

Best odds of 20/23 on Betway

Santi Aldama has been one of the few bright spots for the struggling Grizzlies, but his scoring numbers still fall comfortably below this line. The Spaniard averages 12.5 points per game this season, well under the 16.5 threshold. He has also failed to clear this number in nine of his last 10 appearances, reinforcing the value on the under.

His efficiency supports the angle too: Aldama is shooting 46% from the field but taking just 4.9 attempts per game, limiting his scoring ceiling.

Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 79%, so the odds of 20/23 available with Betway when publishing give us a Positive EV of 47% on this play.

Tip 2: Paul George - over 4.5 Rebounds vs Milwaukee Bucks - 1.5pts

Best odds of 11/10 on William Hill

Paul George has been a reliable presence on the boards, clearing 4.5 rebounds in seven of his last 10 games. Although he remains a slight injury doubt after returning to action a fortnight ago, his track record speaks for itself.

Last season, before his knee setback, the nine-time All-Star averaged 5.3 rebounds per game, giving this line solid grounding.

Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 70%, so the odds of 11/10 available with William Hill when publishing give us a Positive EV of 48% on this play.

Tip 3: AJ Green - over 9.5 points vs Milwaukee Bucks - 1.5pts

Best odds of 1/1 on SpreadEx

AJ Green is known almost exclusively for his three-point shooting, and this season he’s delivering a career-best scoring output at 10.9 points per game. He’s hitting a superb 47% from deep on 3.1 attempts per game.

With Giannis Antetokounmpo sidelined, Milwaukee will need additional scoring production, and Green has stepped up—clearing 9.5 points in each of the Bucks’ last three games.

Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 76%, so the odds of 1/1 available with SpreadEx when publishing give us a Positive EV of 53% on this play.

Tip 4: Malik Monk - over 1.5 Threes vs Memphis Grizzlies - 1pts

Best odds of 4/5 on Betway

Malik Monk continues to be a consistent perimeter threat for the Kings. He has made 2+ threes in six of his last 10 games, including strong outings against both Oklahoma City and San Antonio Spurs.

Monk is shooting 45% from beyond the arc this season, giving him every chance of clearing a modest 1.5 line.

Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 73%, so the odds of 4/5 available with Betway when publishing give us a Positive EV of 33% on this play.