The EV Eagle has landed on Oddschecker! 

In this new daily tipping series, the EV Eagle picks out their best bets from our Positive Expected Value tool, one of the premium tools available to Oddschecker+ subscribers. 

In today's article, the Eagle has picked out five of the best EV bets from tonight's NBA.

How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

Yesterday's results:

Naz Reid – Over 2.5 Assists vs Grizzlies – 1.5pts @ 21/20 LOST
Santi Aldama – Under 15.5 Points vs Timberwolves – 1pt @ 4/5 WON
Donte DiVincenzo – Over 14.5 Points vs Memphis – 1pt @ 11/10 WON
DeAndre Hunter – Under 15.5 Points vs Cavaliers – 1pt @ 4/5 WON
Jaylon Tyson – Over 12.5 Points vs Bulls – 1pt @ 20/23 WON

Wizards vs Spurs

Tip 1: Victor Wembanyama – Over 19.5 Points vs Wizards – 1pt

15/16 with Unibet

This is a dream spot for Wemby. Washington is the softest matchup in the league for centers, ranking 30th vs the position and dead last in opponent paint points, while also allowing the most points to centers overall.

Wembanyama has absolutely feasted in this matchup, going 4-for-4 vs the Wizards and averaging 31.8 PPG, including an outrageous 81 points in 70 total minutes against them last season. Since returning from injury, he’s posted 22 and 18 points in just 21–25 minutes. A bump into 26–32 minutes puts him firmly on track. He’s cleared 18+ points in 13 of 14 games this season and historically goes over in 12 of 15 games at these minutes.

Even with any lingering minutes management, the matchup alone makes 20 points very achievable — a must-play over in an elite spot.

Rockets vs Pelicans

Tip 2: Jeremiah Fears – Over 12.5 Points vs Rockets – 1pt

10/11 with SpreadEX

76% AI implied probability, 52% odds implied probability, 47% Expected Value

Fears has been automatic in this role. With the full Pelicans starting lineup, he’s gone over this line in 8 straight games. When playing 28+ minutes, he’s cleared it 11 of 12 times this season (the lone miss was 11 points).

Production backs it up: 13, 21, 13, 18, 15, 19, 21, 21, 20, 14, 20 in his 11 covers. The returns of Zion Williamson and Jordan Poole haven’t hurt him — he’s hit this line in 10 of 11 games (91%) with Zion and 7 of 9 (78%) with Poole, while still locking down the starting point guard role.

Houston isn’t ideal defensively and plays slower, but guards have found success recently (35 Jamal Murray, 28 Keyonte George, 20 Brandon Williams in 23 minutes). Blowout potential could give Fears extra minutes, making 13+ points highly likely.

Tip 3: Zion Williamson – Over 17.5 Points vs Rockets – 1pt

15/16 with Unibet.

75% AI probability, 53% odds implied probability, 41% Expected Value

Zion is extremely reliable when his minutes are there, clearing this line in 22 of his last 24 games with 27+ minutes - a mark he should reach easily after logging 26 minutes in his first game back from injury.

He has dominated this matchup historically, scoring 25, 24, 30, 29, and 27 in his last five games against Kevin Durant and going 5-for-5 vs the Rockets over the past two seasons. Houston may be tough defensively, but they lack a defender with the speed and strength to consistently contain Zion.

As long as the game stays competitive, the over is firmly in play.

Warriors vs Suns

Tip 4: Mark Williams – Over 11.5 Points vs Warriors – 1pt

15/16 with Unibet

60% AI probability, 52% odds implied probability, 17% Expected Value

This is a strong matchup for Williams. He’s covered in all three career games vs the Warriors, averaging 13.3 PPG, including 16 points earlier this season.

His scoring profile fits perfectly here — 71% of his shots come in the restricted area and most of his offense is inside the paint, where Golden State struggles due to undersized lineups. The Warriors rank 20th in points allowed to centers and 24th vs cutting players, a key area as 32% of Williams’ points come on cuts.

Williams is also in good form, with this line hitting in 8 of his last 10 games.