Newcastle vs Leeds prediction & betting tips brought to you by football expert Tom Love.
Newcastle vs Leeds Stats
- Newcastle have conceded at least 2 goals in 6 of their last 7 league home matches.
- Newcastle saw both teams to score land in 74% of home league games last season.
- Leeds scored in 15 of 19 away league games last season.
Betting Tip: Joe Willock to Score anytime
Friday night football is back at St James Park for a fascinating clash between two sides who have struggled so far. Both Newcastle and Leeds are in the bottom four at present so this becomes quite a big game for the pair and both sides will fancy their chances of a victory.
Leeds haven’t had the easiest start in terms of fixtures. Losses against Manchester United and Liverpool aren’t surprises and draws against Burnley and Everton aren’t terrible results so I wouldn’t be too concerned if you’re a Leeds fan. They will be without defender Pascal Struijk here after his appeal was turned down after a red card against Liverpool and that’s a big blow given fellow centre halves Diego Llorente and Robin Koch are ruled out with injuries.
Despite murmurings of discontent on Tyneside, Newcastle were actually good value in terms of entertainment at St James’ last season with both teams to score copping in 14/19 home games, the best record in the league. If the Toon Army are to survive this season they have to target these kind of home games so I expect them to go for it especially given the lack of numbers at the back for the visitors.
Joe Willock being back in the frame is a big plus, he adds that goal threat should Callum Wilson miss out which may be the case here. With more attacking focus on Willock I’m happy to take the 4/1 about him to score anytime. He’s bagged 8 in 14 for the Magpies and that record deserves respect and I’m surprised he’s not shorter in the market.
Betting Tip: Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals
I do expect Leeds to turn it on too though, Newcastle have conceded 4, 2, 2 and 4 goals in the league and with Freddie Woodman looking shot of confidence in goal I think Leeds will smell blood and take plenty of efforts. Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals is therefore the main play at 10/11.
Betting Tip: Matt Ritchie to be Carded
One final play comes from the card market and if he starts at left wing back I’ll be taking Matt Ritchie to be carded at 4/1. Ritchie, who is always lively and loves to get stuck in, will have a tough time dealing with the skilful Raphinha on that wing. Raphinha is averaging 2 fouls against this season and Ritchie is averaging a card every 4 games in his last 4 seasons.
Newcastle vs Leeds Odds
Newcastle vs Leeds Lineups
Newcastle probable lineup
Woodman, Manquillo, Fernandez, Lascelles, Schar, Ritchie, Almiron, Willock, Hayden, Joelinton, Saint-Maximin
Leeds probable lineup
Meslier, Dallas, Ayling, Cooper, Firpo, Phillips, Raphinha, Rodrigo, Klich, Harrison, Bamford
Newcastle vs Leeds Prediction
Newcastle 2-2 Leeds