Burnley vs Man City

Connor Roberts to commit 2+ Fouls

Advised Bet: 1pt @ 15/8 Betfair

New season, same plan of attack.

Jack Grealish is one of the Premier League’s most fouled players. In 28 top-flight appearances last season, the England ace was fouled an average of 2.8 times per-game, with Champions League opponents even cutting the 27-year-old down 2.5 times per-game.

Having made the left-hand side of Manchester City’s formidable 4-2-3-1 system his own, Grealish is bound to be a key component as the Citizens start their title defence at newly-promoted Burnley on Friday night. 

For Scott Thornton’s match prediction, click here.

In 19 (83%) of 23 EPL starts, Grealish drew a minimum of two fouls, and therefore I’m happy to attack his direct opponent on Friday night with Clarets right-back Connor Roberts to commit 2+ Fouls available to support at an attractive 15/8 (2.88) with Betfair/Paddy Power.

Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest

Felipe to make 2+ Tackles

Advised Bet: 1pt @ 4/5 Sky Bet

Nottingham Forest have been relatively quiet in the transfer market and so Steve Cooper looks likely to call upon last season’s guard when the Tricky Trees travel to face Arsenal at the Emirates on Saturday. The Reds were appalling on the road in 2022/23 and the pre-match odds suggest Forest will be up against it in their opener. 

Mark O’Haire’s 2023/24 Premier League Season Tips & Preview.

Brazilian centre-half Felipe made a positive impact in the heart of Forest’s defence last season and the 34-year-old appeals as a 4/5 (1.80) shot to make 2+ Tackles with Sky Bet.

It’s a feat achieved by Felipe in 11 (73%) of 15 Premier League starts for the City Ground club, averaging 2.60 per-game, yet the odds suggest just a 56% chance of success here.

Chelsea vs Liverpool

Conor Gallagher to make Over 40.5 Passes

Advised Bet: 1pt @ 4/5 Bet365

Chelsea begin the Mauricio Pochettino era with a mouthwatering match-up against Liverpool on Super Sunday. The Blues have overhauled their squad in the summer, and with the capital club still chasing top-level signings, the first XI still appears short in key areas.

Conor Gallagher and Enzo Fernandez seem set to form Chelsea’s midfield pivot, and with the former operating from a deeper base in pre-season, there’s potential to support the England international in the passes market. Bet365 have set the line at 40.5 and taking the Over option pays an eye-catching 4/5 (1.80).

Liverpool also saw a clutch of midfield men depart in the off-season with the Reds arriving at Stamford Bridge without an established holding midfielder. That should allow Chelsea an opportunity to get a decent foothold on proceedings and Gallagher to stamp his authority on the contest when in possession. 

*Click here to bet on the +40.5 line with bet365 

(See best prices for +45 below).