12:30 Tuesday

Newcastle host Nottingham Forest in Boxing Day as they look to bounce back from their defeat at Luton. Eddie Howe’s side lost ground in the race for the Champions League but their exceptional home form means they are strong favourites for this one.

Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest Stats

  • Newcastle are averaging 2.44 goals and conceding just 0.44 in their Premier League home matches this season.
  • The Magpies have the best home xG in the Premier League with 24.72.
  • Nottingham Forest have won just two of their 28 away matches in the league since the start of last season.

 

Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest Prediction

Newcastle suffered defeat at the hands of Luton at the weekend and the loss has left them trailing 4th place by 7 points. The Magpies European adventure is already over this season so they will be keen to return to the Champions League next season and make a greater impact. The club have been on an upward trajectory since they were taken over by the Saudi Investment Fund but the progress has slowed in the opening months of this season.

Eddie Howe’s side have only won one of their last 6 matches in all competitions. They have suffered four defeats over that period but their hoke form has remained strong. Newcastle have won 10 of their 13 matches at St. James’s Park this season. The only time they have dropped points in front of their own fans in the Premier League was in the 2-1 defeat against Liverpool. Their most recent home match saw them beat Fulham 3-0.

Nottingham Forest took the decision to sack Steve Cooper and replace him with Nuno Espírito Santo last week. However, the former Wolves boss made a losing start to his tenure but there were signs of encouragement. Forest were reduced to 10 men in the 23rd minute but still showed plenty of spirit and attacking impetus in the 3-2 defeat against Bournemouth. However, points are the board are vital for Nuno as he looks to ensure is side stay clear of the drop zone.

Forest have just one win in their last 14 Premier League matches. Over that period they are averaging 0.93 goals per game and conceding 1.93. It is something Nuno will have to remedy quickly if he wants to maintain the gap on the newly-promoted sides who currently linger in the bottom three.

I’m betting over 24.5 shots in this match at odds of 10/11 with Unibet. Newcastle alone had 27 in their last home match in the league. Eddie Howe’s side are averaging 16.78 shots per hour game in the league and the matches overall have seen an average of 27.44 attempts. They will be keen to make amends after the loss to Luton. This bet has won in their last 5 Premier League matches with ease. The fewest amount of shots in any of those was 30.

There were 29 shots in Forest's defeat at the weekend and it is very likely that the home side would have racked up more attempts if they hadn’t have had a player sent off. There were very few shots in their matches under Steve Cooper this season but the early signs are that this will change under Nuno.

Tip: Over 24.5 Shots In The Match @ 10/11 Unibet

Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest Results

A recap of the most recent meetings between the two sides.

Date Result Competition
17/03/2023 Nottingham Forest 1-2 Newcastle Premier League
06/08/2023 Newcastle 2-0 Nottingham Forest Premier League
29/08/2018 Nottingham Forest 3-1 Newcastle League Cup
23/08/2017 Newcastle 2-3 Nottingham Forest League Cup
22/02/2021 Newcastle 3-1 Nottingham Forest Championship

 

Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest Lineups

Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest predicted lineups brought to you by WhoScored.com. 

Newcastle Predicted Lineup vs Nottingham Forest

Dubravka, Trippier, Schar, Botman, Livramento, Miley, Guimaraes, Hall, Almiron, Isak, Gordon

Nottingham Forest Predicted Lineup vs Newcastle

Turner, Aina, Murillo, Niakhate, Toffolo, Yates, Mangala, Hudson-Odoi, Gibbs-White, Elanga, Wood

Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest Correct Score Prediction

Newcastle 3-1 Nottingham Forest