
We've got a big price accumulator to finish the Premier League season - over the last 10 seasons the final day has averaged 3.41 goals per game.
The Premier League final day is renowned for high-scoring matches, with seven of the last 10 seasons seeing either all 10 games go over 1.5 goals or falling just one game short.
In fact, each match on the final day has seen an increase of 0.6 goals per match vs an average match day across those 10 years.
With this in mind we have put together an 80/1 featuring all of the Premier League games on Sunday.
At the time of wrting it was a best price on Betway.
16:00 Sunday
Tottenham vs Brighton - Over 1.5 Brighton Goals
- Tottenham will be feeling the effects of their Europa League celebrations and the last thing on their mind will be the Premier League.
- Brighton still have everything to play for with eight place and potentially European football (depending on Chelsea's result) up for grabs.
- Brighton games have been the fifth highest scoring games with 3.24 goals per match.
- Tottenham have conceded 2+ in five of their last six games.
- Brighton average 1.68 goals per game this season.
- Brighton have scored 2+ in five of their last six games.
16:00 Sunday
Bournemouth vs Leicester - Over 2.5 Goals
- Leicester are defensively one of the worst side in the Premier League - average 2.11 goals conceded.
- They are, however, finishing the league strong - scoring twice in each of their last three games.
- Bournemouth has the fifth best xG average per 90 (1.69) and against Leicester on the final day you can expect them to take a couple chances.
16:00 Sunday
Wolves vs Brentford - Over 2.5 Goals
- Brentford have everything to play for with eighth still up for grabs and potentially European football for the first time in club history.
- Brentford games have been the joint-third highest scoring average in the league this season with 3.27 per game.
- Wolves games have the joint-third highest scoring average in the league this season with 3.27 per game.
16:00 Sunday
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace - Salah 2+ Shots on Target
- We have chosen to avoid a goals bet in this game, fearing that both sides might be on the beach after their respective wins this season (FA Cup for Palace and the Premier League title for Liverpool).
- One player who you can always rely on to give his all is Mohamed Salah - he will be keen to add to his already impressive stats especially with the Ballon d'Or potentially still on the table.
- He averages 1.34 SOT per 90 in the Premier League.
- He has hit the target twice 19 times this season in 56 games.
- With Crystal Palace potentially still recovering from last week's celebration Salah will see this as a chance to pick up some goals.
16:00 Sunday
Southampton vs Arsenal - Arsenal - Over 1.5 Arsenal Goals
- Southampton have the worst defence in the Premier League - average 2.27 goals conceded per game.
- Arsenal have the fourth best attack in the Premier League - average 1.81 goals scored per game.
- Arsenal scored three in the reverse fixture.
16:00 Sunday
Man United vs Aston Villa - Aston Villa to Win & Over 1.5 Goals
- Man United will be licking their wounds after a Europa League loss and will just want to get this season behind them after suffering the most defeats in the Premier League since they were last relegated in 1974.
- Aston Villa have caught them at a good time as they need a win to have a shot at Champions League football next season.
- United haven't won in eight league games and have lost six of those.
- Aston Villa are finishing the season strong with three wins in their last three.
- There have been over 1.5 goals in 11 of Aston Villa's last 13 games.
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16:00 Sunday
Fulham vs Man City - Both Teams to Score
- Man City need to win this game in order to guarantee Champions League football.
- Fulham score twice against City in the reverse fixture.
- Fulham have the highest % of games in which both teams have scored (73%) with that increasing to 78% for homes games.
16:00 Sunday
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea - Both Teams to Score
- This will likely be the game to watch on the final day with both sides still in with a chance of qualifying for the Champions League with a win.
- Both sides are in the top 10 in the league doe average goals scored (Forest 1.57 and Chelsea 1.7).
- Both sides need to win so have no choice but to throw caution to the wind at some point.
- Both sides have only failed to score in seven games this season.
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16:00 Sunday
Ipswich vs West Ham - Over 2.5 Goals
- Ipswich have the second worst defence in the league - average 2.14 conceded per game.
- West Ham have the sixth worst defence in the league - average 1.65 conceded per game.
- The reverse fixture ended with five goals scored when West Ham won 4-1.
- Four of the last six Ipswich games ended in 3 or more goals.
16:00 Sunday
Newcastle vs Everton - Barnes 3+ Shots
- This is another game we are cautious to predict a high scoring affair in. Everton's defence has been rock solid towards the end of the season with just two of their last 11 games going over two goals scored.
- Instead I want to focus on Newcastle's attacking players because this is a must win game.
- With Isak potentially out injured Barnes will need to step up. He already averages 3.35 shots a game and with no Isak we should see him be particularly active in front of goal.
- He has hit 3+ shots in his last four games.