The EV Eagle has landed on Oddschecker! 

In this new daily tipping series, the EV Eagle picks out their best bets from our Positive Expected Value tool, one of the premium tools available to Oddscheker+ subscribers. 

In today's article, the Eagle has picked out five best EV bets for Friday's football matches across Europe.

How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

Yesterday's Results: 

Tip 1: Konstantinos Koulierakis - 1+ Foul vs Werder Bremen - 2pts VOID (non-starter)
Tip 2: German Valera - 2+ Shots vs Real Sociedad - 1pt VOID (non-starter)
Tip 3: Romano Schmid - 1+ Foul vs Wolfsburg - 1.25pts WON at 4/5
Tip 4: Zak Vyner - 1+ Shot vs Watford - 0.75pts WON at 23/20
Tip 5: Mamdou Doumbia - 1+ Shot on Target vs Bristol City - 1pt LOST

Tip 1: Sonny Carey – 1+ Shot on Target vs Wrexham – 1pt

6/5 best price available with BetMGM. As short as 4/11 elsewhere.

Sonny Carey has been a consistent threat for Charlton, recording 2,1,2,1,3 shots on target across his last five games and leading the team in shots on target per match this season. He’s also found the net in three of those five outings, showing his confidence in front of goal. With Wrexham allowing more shots on target than the league average, Carey looks well-placed to test the keeper again.

Our AI model gives this selection a 70.32% probability, compared to the 45.87% implied by the odds, giving this bet strong positive expected value.

Tip 2: Esteve – 1+ Foul vs West Ham – 1pt

1/1 best price available with Paddy Power and Sky Bet.

Esteve has committed at least one foul in four of his last six games (1,0,1,1,0,1) and faces a tricky matchup against the likes of Summerville, Paquetá and Bowen — who draw 2.24, 1.77 and 1.64 fouls per 90 respectively.

With an AI probability of 67.8% and odds-implied probability of 47.62%, this play holds an Expected Value of 42.38%, making it an excellent EV pick at even money.

Tip 3: Kyle Walker – 2+ Tackles vs West Ham – 2pt

21/20 best price available with BoyleSports.

Walker has made 4,3,1,3,1,2,1,3 tackles in his last eight games, averaging two per 90 minutes. Facing Summerville — who attempts more take-ons per 90 than any other player in the West Ham side (4) — this should be another busy defensive outing for the England international.

Our AI model rates this at 79.8% probability to land, compared to 48.78% implied by the odds, producing a 63.7% expected value.

Tip 4: Micky van de Ven – 1+ Shot vs Manchester United – 1.5pt

1/1 best price available with bet365.

Van de Ven has attempted at least one shot in six of his last eight starts (1,0,2,2,1,0,1,1) and averages 0.79 shots per 90. Spurs’ centre-back has been a surprising attacking outlet, and United’s weakness from set pieces only adds appeal — they’ve conceded the fifth-most shots from dead-ball situations (4.2 per game), with opposition centre-backs attempting 10 shots in their last five matches.

Our AI model gives this a 58% probability, versus a 49% implied by the odds, for a 20% positive EV.

Tip 5: Jake O’Brien – 1+ Foul vs Fulham – 1pt

4/5 best price available with bet365.

O’Brien has committed at least one foul in four of his last five games (1,0,2,1,1) and faces the unenviable task of stopping Kevin — who attempts 11.2 take-ons per 90, the most in the Premier League.

This matchup should see O’Brien tested often, making one foul a very achievable line at 4/5.