The Netherlands will seal qualification for the 2026 World Cup with a win in Warsaw, while Poland — unbeaten at home this year — must avoid defeat to secure at least a play-off spot.
19:45 Friday
Poland, sitting second in the World Cup Qualification UEFA group, will host group leaders Netherlands at the Stadion Narodowy in Warsaw on Friday.
Poland vs Netherlands Form & Head to Head
Poland's most recent match saw them defeat Lithuania 2-0 away from home. The Eagles have been in decent form recently, winning four of their last six matches in all competitions. Their home form has been particularly strong, winning all three of their World Cup Qualification UEFA matches at home.
Netherlands thrashed Finland 4-0 in their last match, continuing their excellent form. The Oranje are undefeated in their last six matches, winning five and drawing one. They have also been dominant away from home in the World Cup Qualification UEFA, winning all three of their matches.
The previous meeting between these two sides ended in a 1-1 draw in Netherlands during September.
In the last six meetings between the two nations, Netherlands have had the better of Poland, winning four times with two draws.
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Poland vs Netherlands Predicted Lineups
Poland (3-4-2-1): Grabara; Kiwior, Ziólkowski, Wisniewski; Skóras, Slisz, Zielinski, Cash; Kaminski, Szymanski; Lewandowski
Netherlands (4-3-3): Verbruggen; van de Ven, van Dijk, van Hecke, Dumfries; Reijnders, de Jong, Gravenberch; Gakpo, Weghorst, Simons
Poland vs Netherlands Team News
- Jan Urban is without Łukasz Skorupski, Jan Bednarek and Krzysztof Piątek, leaving Jakub Kiwior to anchor a reshaped back three.
- Matty Cash and Michał Skóraś provide width, while Robert Lewandowski — fresh off a weekend hat-trick — leads the line with support from Piotr Zieliński, Sebastian Szymański and Jakub Kamiński.
- Ronald Koeman is missing Jeremie Frimpong but still fields a strong spine, with Frenkie de Jong controlling midfield alongside Tijjani Reijnders and Ryan Gravenberch.
- Memphis Depay starts up front, flanked by Cody Gakpo and Xavi Simons, as the Oranje look to build on three straight away wins in qualifying.
Poland vs Netherlands Match Prediction
The Netherlands will qualify for the 2026 World Cup with a win, while Poland must avoid defeat to secure a play-off place and keep faint hopes of topping the group alive. Poland’s strong home form and disciplined structure give them a platform, but they’ve yet to face an attack as fluid and incisive as Koeman’s.
The Dutch have scored in 14 straight competitive games, opened the scoring in six in a row, and arrive with greater control in midfield and more reliable cutting edge up front. Poland will look to frustrate and counter through Lewandowski, but sustaining pressure against De Jong, Gravenberch and Depay for 90 minutes is a tall order.
Score Prediction: Poland 1–2 Netherland
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Who are the betting favourites in Poland vs Netherlands?
Netherlands are the 3/4 favourites with Coral to win this match against Poland and qualify for the 2026 World Cup.
| Result | Odds |
|---|---|
| Poland | 4/1 |
| Draw | 3/1 |
| Netherlands | 3/4 |
Poland vs Netherlands Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder tips for Poland vs Netherlands features Matty Cash 2+ Shots, Virgil Van Dijk 1+ Foul, and Memphis Depay to Score Anytime.
At the time of publishing it is a best price of 5/1 with Paddy Power
Matty Cash 1 + Shot
Matty Cash has had 2 or more shots in each of his last four international games, and had at least one in nine of his last ten games (starting) for Aston Villa.
Virgil Van Dijk 1+ Foul
Van Dijk fouls regularly for Netherlands and picked up two in the reverse fixture. He has fouled at least once in eight of his last ten international games.
Memphis Depay to Score Anytime
Depay has scored in each of his last six appearances for Netherlands. With Netherlands needing a win to go through they'll need to lean on Depay's prolifical scoring form. He is also the penalty, which only helps to boost our chances.
