Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction, lineups and betting odds, plus key stats and bet builder tips for Thursday's Serie A clash. Read on before you bet.
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Match Summary
Competition | Italian Serie A |
|---|---|
Match Date | Thursday 29 October 2026 |
Match Time | 19:45 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Artemio Franchi |
Fiorentina vs Atalanta on Thursday night brings two struggling Serie A sides together, and with both defences leaking, our Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction leans firmly towards goals.
Fiorentina are in a hole, and Paolo Vanoli's return to the dugout has not stopped the rot. Three straight league defeats tell you plenty about a defence that keeps shipping goals.
Atalanta are hardly flying either. Sarri's side are winless in three across Serie A and the Conference League, and an injury crisis has gutted their back line.
Fiorentina are undefeated in their last 6 home matches against Atalanta in all competitions, but on current form that record looks fragile. Both clubs badly need the points.
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Form
Fiorentina's league form is grim. They led at Inter through Álex Jiménez only to be undone in stoppage time, and the back line has let in at least two in 7 of the previous 8 Serie A fixtures. Coppa Italia home wins over Benevento and Pisa have been the only respite, with Franco Mastantuono their most persistent attacking outlet.
Atalanta's last league outing was a chaotic 4-4 draw with Frosinone, Nikola Krstović grabbing a brace. That sums them up: dangerous going forward, flimsy at the back. Sarri's men have leaked at least twice in five of the last six league games. In the Conference League, a home win over Pafos was followed by defeat at Ajax.
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Fiorentina: Fabiano Parisi (Injured/out), Marin Pongračić (Injured/doubtful), Arthur Atta (Injured/doubtful), Luca Ranieri (Injured/doubtful)
Atalanta: Sead Kolašinac (Injured/out), Raoul Bellanova (Injured/out), Giorgio Scalvini (Injured/out), Isak Hien (Injured/out), Odilon Kossounou (Injured/out), Kamaldeen Sulemana (Injured/doubtful), Giacomo Raspadori (Injured/doubtful), Franck Kessié (Injured/doubtful)
Fiorentina
Neither side has confirmed its XI, so the Fiorentina vs Atalanta lineups below are probable. Vanoli has defensive problems, with Ranieri and Pongračić both doubts. Drăgușin is guaranteed to start, with Viery shifting alongside him, Valde coming in on the left and Jiménez on the right. Brescianini, Fagioli and Ndour form the engine room again, while Beto is favoured over Pellegrino up front, flanked by Mastantuono and Njie.
Atalanta
The injury crisis deepens for Sarri, with Bellanova the latest casualty. Zappacosta fills in on the right and Bernasconi starts on the left, while the youngster Obrić partners Kristensen in the centre. Éderson and Gaetano hold the middle, Elmas could join De Ketelaere and Rowe in the attacking line, and Krstović is favoured over Scamacca once again.
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Predicted Lineup
Fiorentina
Formation: 4-3-3
Predicted Starting Lineup: David de Gea; Álex Jiménez, Radu Drăgușin, Viery, Valde; Marco Brescianini, Nicolò Fagioli, Cher Ndour; Franco Mastantuono, Beto, Alieu Njie
Atalanta
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Predicted Starting Lineup: Marco Carnesecchi; Davide Zappacosta, Thomas Kristensen, Relja Obrić, Lorenzo Bernasconi; Éderson, Gianluca Gaetano; Eljif Elmas, Charles De Ketelaere, Jonathan Rowe; Nikola Krstović
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Key Stats & Match Facts
Atalanta have received 2+ cards in 8 of their last 10 matches against Fiorentina in Serie A.
Charles De Ketelaere has assisted in 3 of his last 5 appearances against Fiorentina in Serie A.
Davide Zappacosta has recorded 1+ shots on target in 4 of his last 5 appearances against Fiorentina in Serie A.
Franco Mastantuono has attempted 2+ shots in 7 of his last 7 Serie A appearances.
There have been 10+ shots on target in 3 of the last 4 Serie A meetings between Atalanta and Fiorentina.
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Fiorentina 2-2 Atalanta. Fiorentina are only narrowly favoured at 11/8 (AK Bets), and with neither back line holding up, our Fiorentina vs Atalanta best bets are built around goals rather than picking a winner.
Best Bets
Over 3.5 goals in the Total Goals Over/Under market. Two leaky defences and a stretched Atalanta back line point to a high-scoring game. The projected 2-2 would be enough to land this line. On top of that, seven of Fiorentina's previous eight league games have gone over 2.5 goals, and with an Atalanta defence missing a string of senior bodies, the case for goals is a strong one.
Both Teams To Score: Yes. Both sides have scored regularly in this fixture and in recent league games. Both teams have scored in 5 of the last 7 Serie A meetings. Atalanta, meanwhile, have found the net at least twice in each of their previous three league games, and with Fiorentina's defence this generous, a nil at either end looks a stretch.
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Bet Builder
Our Fiorentina vs Atalanta bet builder tips back Nikola Krstović to score and register over 3.5 shots, over 3.5 goals in the match and an Atalanta win.
Nikola Krstović has scored in 3 of his last 3 Serie A appearances and is favoured over Scamacca again. Against this Fiorentina defence, he is the obvious place to start.
Krstović has attempted 4+ shots in 3 of his last 3 Serie A appearances. Fiorentina struggle in the air and with individual errors, so the volume should be there.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Atalanta's last 6 Serie A games. Facing a Fiorentina side who concede freely, a fourth goal is far from a stretch.
Fiorentina have lost three league games on the spin, and Atalanta are the sharper finishers. At 15/8 (Bet Victor) on their own, this is the leg that gives the builder its price.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 19/2 and is as short as 15/2 elsewhere.
Make sure to get the best odds on your Bet Builder with Oddschecker's Exclusive Bet Builder Comparison Tool.
Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Talking Points
The Fiorentina vs Atalanta betting odds barely split these two, and the head-to-head is just as level, with Atalanta holding three wins to Fiorentina's two and one draw. The bigger story is Atalanta's injury crisis. Bellanova is the latest casualty, leaving the youngster Relja Obrić to partner Thomas Kristensen at centre-back. Fiorentina have their own problems, though, struggling against through balls and skilful runners, and Charles De Ketelaere is exactly that sort of player. Expect a messy, open night at the Artemio Franchi.
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Predictions FAQs
When is Fiorentina vs Atalanta kicking off?
The match is on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 19:45 UK time.
Where is Fiorentina vs Atalanta being played?
The match is being played at the Artemio Franchi.
What competition is Fiorentina vs Atalanta in?
Fiorentina vs Atalanta is a Serie A match in the 2026/2027 season.
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