
The EV Eagle has picked out three betting tips for Friday's matches.
The EV Eagle has landed on Oddschecker!
In this new daily tipping series, the EV Eagle picks out their best bets from our Positive Expected Value tool, one of the premium tools available to Oddschecker+ subscribers.
In today's article, the Eagle has picked out five best EV bets for Friday's Football..
How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?
When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.
Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.
Running P+L: +9.4pts
Tip 1: Borja Mayoral – Over 0.5 Fouls vs Elche - 1.5pts
Mayoral averages around 1 foul per 90 minutes in LaLiga this season and has committed fouls in all three of his previous meetings with Elche, totaling five across those games.
Elche draw the most fouls in LaLiga (172 so far), which suggests Mayoral will be involved in physical duels and likely commit at least one foul.
Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 76%, so the odds of 10/13 with BetMGM when publishing gives us a Positive EV of 34% on this play.
Tip 2: Aleix Febas – Over 0.5 Fouls vs Getafe - 1.5pts
Febas plays as a central midfielder and has a history of fouling against Getafe, recording two fouls in his last two appearances versus them.
Getafe rank among the most fouled teams in LaLiga (165 fouls suffered), meaning Febas will be under pressure defensively and likely concede at least one foul during transitions.
Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 75%, so the odds of 10/11 with Ladbrokes when publishing gives us a Positive EV of 43% on this play.
Tip 3: Mark Harris – Over 1.5 Shots vs Ipswich - 1pt
Harris has averaged 1.8 shots per 90 minutes in his limited Championship appearances this season and tends to shoot when given minutes.
Ipswich allow high shot volumes, conceding over 14 shots per game and 3.3 on target on average, making this a favorable matchup for Harris to register two attempts.
Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 65%, so the odds of 5/4 with betway when publishing gives us a Positive EV of 47% on this play.








