The EV Eagle has landed on Oddschecker! 

In this new daily tipping series, the EV Eagle picks out their best bets from our Positive Expected Value tool, one of the premium tools available to Oddschecker+ subscribers. 

In today's article, the Eagle has picked out five best EV bets for Saturday's Football.. 

How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

Yesterday's Results

Borja Mayoral – Over 0.5 Fouls vs Elche - 1.5pts - WON @ 10/13

Aleix Febas – Over 0.5 Fouls vs Getafe - 1.5pts - WON @ 10/11

Mark Harris – Over 1.5 Shots vs Ipswich - 1pt - WON @ 5/4

Running P+L: +13.17pts

Tottenham vs Fulham

Tip 1: Ryan Sessegnon – Over 1.5 Fouls vs Tottenham – 1pt

Sessegnon is Fulham’s second most consistent fouler, averaging 1.73 fouls per 90 minutes this season. His recent form shows fouls of 0,1,2,2,4,2,2,1,3,2 across his last ten games.

He faces Mohammed Kudus, who has attempted the third most take-ons in Europe’s top five leagues’, which should see Sessegnon involved in multiple challenges.

With a 63% AI probability and 47% odds probability, this bet offers a Positive EV of 35% at 23/20 with SpreadEX.

Brentford vs Burnley

Tip 2: Hayden Hackney Over 2.5 Shots vs Derby – 1pt

Hackney has had 3+ shots in 6 of his last 8 games and faces a Derby side that allow more shots than the league average. He might take up a more defensive role in this match but has had 3,6,3,4 shots in the last four games he started at CDM.

The AI calculates a 71% probability for this outcome, with odds probability at 37%, giving an 90% Positive EV at 13/8 with Betway.

Norwich vs QPR

Tip 3: Ilias Chair – Over 0.5 Shots On Target vs Norwich – 1.25pts

Chair has hit the target in every game he has played this season (7/7) and faces a Norwich side conceding 17.5% more shots on target than the league average.

Norwich are also in poor form, winless in 13 matches, while QPR have recorded two wins and a draw in their last three games.

The AI estimates a 66% probability of this bet landing, with odds probability at 55%, giving an 18% Positive EV at 4/5 with BetMGM.

Wrexham vs Blackburn

Tip 4: Andri Gudjohnsen Over 1.5 Shots vs Wrexham– 1pt

Andri Gudjohnsen plays upfront today against a Wrexham side that allow 19% more shots than league average. He averages 1.93 shots per 90 and has hit this line in 6 of his last 10 games.

With a 74% AI probability and 57% odds probability, this bet has a Positive EV of 29% at 3/4 with Betway.

Man City vs Leeds

Tip 5: Tijjani Reijnders Over 1.5 Shots vs Leeds – 1.5pts

Reijnders has hit this line in 9 of the last 10 games he has started for Man City.

He faces a struggling Leeds side at home, where Man City are expected to dominate possession and create numerous chances.

The AI probability is 76% and odds probability is 58%, giving this tip a 30% Positive EV at 7/10 with BetMGM.

Tip 6: Accumulator - 1pt 

Ryan Sessegnon – Over 1.5 Fouls vs Tottenham

Ilias Chair – Over 0.5 Shots On Target vs Norwich 

Tijjani Reijnders Over 1.5 Shots vs Leeds

Best Price: 5/1 with BetMGM