The EV Eagle has landed on Oddschecker! 

In this new daily tipping series, the EV Eagle picks out their best bets from our Positive Expected Value tool, one of the premium tools available to Oddschecker+ subscribers. 

In today's article, the Eagle has picked out five best EV bets for Sunday's Football.. 

How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

Yesterday's Results
Virgil Van Dijk - Over 0.5 Fouls vs West Ham - 1pt - Lost
Morgan Rogers - Over 0.5 Shots on Target vs Wolves - 1.25pts - Won
Mikel Merino – Over 1.5 Fouls vs Chelsea – 1.5pts - Won
Jean-Clair Todibo – Over 1.5 Tackles vs Liverpool – 1.5pts - Lost
Yankuba Minteh – Over 1.5 Shots vs Nottingham Forest – 1.25pts - Lost

 

Tip 1: Pep Chavarria - Over 0.5 Shots vs Valencia - 1pt

Best odds of 17/20 with SpreadEx when publishing.

Rayo Vallecano left-back, Pep Chavarria, has managed to have at least one shot on goal in six of his previous eight matches, one of those vs Real Madrid. 

His side face Valencia tonight who are conceding 13 shots per game (5th highest in La Liga) and averaing 18 shots conceded in their last four away matches. 

Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 70%, so the odds of 19/20 with SpreadEx when publishing gives us a Positive EV of 29% on this play.

Phoenix Suns @ LA Lakers

Tip 2: Austin Reaves - Over 4.5 Rebounds vs Phoenix Suns - 1pt

Best odds of 4/5 with BetVictor when publishing.

Reaves is averaging 5.9 rebounds per game this season, well above the 4.5 line, and has logged 5+ boards in seven of his last ten outings.

The Suns allow 43.7 rebounds per game, ranking in the bottom third of the league, which suggests plenty of opportunities on the glass.

With Reaves playing heavy minutes (36.6 per game) and contributing across the board, this over looks strong.

Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 78%, so the odds of 4/5 with BetVictor when publishing gives us a Positive EV of 41% on this play.

Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets

Tip 3: Steven Adams - Over 6.5 Rebounds vs Utah Jazz - 1pt

Best odds of 3/4 with Coral/Ladbrokes.

Adams is pulling down 9.2 rebounds per game this season, and his elite offensive rebounding rate has been a key factor for Houston.

The Jazz surrender 46.7 rebounds per game, among the worst marks in the NBA, and their lack of interior dominance makes this matchup favorable for Adams to clear 7 boards comfortably.

Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 77%, so the odds of 3/4 with Coral/Ladbrokes when publishing gives us a Positive EV of 34% on this play.

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Indiana Pacers

Tip 4: Evan Mobley - Under 4.5 Assists vs Indiana Pacers - 1pt

Best odds of 8/11 with Unibet.

Mobley averages 3.9 assists per game, but his distribution numbers fluctuate and often dip against teams that limit ball movement.

The Pacers allow just 25.1 opponent assists per game, a top-10 mark in defensive assist prevention, which could cap Mobley’s playmaking upside in this spot. 

Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 76%, so the odds of 8/11 with Unibet when publishing gives us a Positive EV of 28% on this play.

Dallas Mavericks @ Denver Nuggets

Tip 5: Jamal Murray - Over 2.5 Threes Made vs Dallas - 1pt

Best odds of 4/5 with Bet Victor.

Murray is hitting 2.9 threes per game on 40.2% shooting from deep, and he’s attempted over seven triples per contest this season.

Dallas allows the fewest made threes in the league (10.9 per game), but their pace and defensive scheme still concede volume attempts, making Murray’s high usage and shooting efficiency a strong case for the over.

Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 73%, so the odds of 4/5 with BetVictor when publishing gives us a Positive EV of 32% on this play.