EV Eagle's Five Football Tips for Tuesday featuring Yamal & Haaland

The EV Eagle has landed on Oddschecker! 

In this new daily tipping series, the EV Eagle picks out their best bets from our Positive Expected Value tool, one of the premium tools available to Oddschecker+ subscribers. 

In today's article, the Eagle has picked out five best EV bets for Tuesday's Premier League and La Liga matches.

How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

Running P+L: +6.15pts

Tip 1: Erling Haaland - Over 3.5 Shots vs Fulham - 1.25pts

Best odds of 23/20 with Ladbrokes / Coral when publishing.

Erling Haaland frustrated FPL managers across the nation on Saturday who triple captained him, managing only one shot in 90 minutes at home to Leeds. 

We are backing him to bounce back from that performance and go over the 3.5 total shot line, which he has done in 7/13 Premier League appearances this season. 

In six appearances for Man City vs Fulham, Haaland has six goals and has had 4+ shots in 5/6 appearances. 

Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 73%, so the odds of 23/20 with Ladbrokes/Coral when publishing gives us a Positive EV of 29% on this play.

Tip 2: Adrian Truffert - Over 0.5 Shots vs Everton - 1pt

Best odds of 11/10 with BetVictor when publishing. 

Bournemouth's summer signing, Adrian Truffert, has cemented his starting spot at left-back for The Cherries, and has seen a uptick in shots taken in recent gameweeks. 

After starting the season with one shot in 6 matches, Truffert now has at least one in five of his last seven and in three consecutive home matches. 

With Everton conceding the fourth highest 13.85 shots per game in the Premier League, Truffert to continue his shooting streak looks an attractive play. 

Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 64%, so the odds of 11/10 with BetVictor when publishing gives us a Positive EV of 33% on this play.

Tip 3: Tyler Adams - Over 0.5 Shots vs Everton - 1pt

Best odds of 5/4 with 10Bet and betway when publishing.

We are sticking with another player in the Bournemouth vs Everton to have a shot and this time it's Tyler Adams. 

Adams is fresh off scoring from 40+ metres on the weekend vs Sunderland, and whilst we are not expecting that again, his underlying shot statistics are promising. 

The USA international has at least one shot in 8/13 Premier League matches and had four consecutive matches with a shot before a recent slump. 

Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 59%, so the odds of 5/4 with 10Bet when publishing gives us a Positive EV of 21% on this play.

Tip 4: Mohammed Kudus - Over 1.5 Tackles vs Newcastle - 1.25pt

Best odds of 11/8 with Ladbrokes / Coral when publishing.

Spurs' Mohammed Kudus is known for his creating abilites, but his tackle markets catch the eye for tonight's trip to Newcastle. 

In eight away starts for Spurs, Kudus has had 2+ tackles in six of those matches, with the two against Everton and West Ham, games where Spurs have a higher share of ball possesion.

The price of 11/8 with Ladbrokes makes this an intruiging play to continue his trend of tackling away from home. 

Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 53%, so the odds of 11/8 with Ladbrokes when publishing gives us a Positive EV of 24% on this play.

Tip 5: Lamine Yamal - Over 3.5 Shots vs Atletico Madrid - 1.25pts

Best odds of 59/50 with BetMGM when publishing.

Barcelona's star boy, Lamine Yamal, has been hitting the over 3.5 shots line with regularity this season.

Yamal has had 4+ shots in 5/6 home matches, averaging 4.7 per game in that span. 

In his only start vs Atletico, Yamal had four shots (2 on target & one goal) and had four in Barcelona's toughest home game this season vs PSG. 

Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 71%, so the odds of 59/50 with BetMGM when publishing gives us a juicy Positive EV of 55% on this play.