The EV Eagle has picked out three value selections and combined them to make a massive 18/1 bet builder for the West Ham vs Man United game tonight.
Man United vs West Ham
The EV Eagle has landed on Oddschecker!
In this new daily tipping series, the EV Eagle picks out their best bets from our Positive Expected Value tool, one of the premium tools available to Oddschecker+ subscribers.
In today's article, the Eagle has picked out three of the best EV bets from tonight's game between Man United and West Ham and combined them in a bet builder.
How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?
When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.
Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.
Yesterdays Results
Trai Hume - Over 0.5 Fouls Committed vs Liverpool - 1.25pts - LOST
Nordi Mukiele - Over 1.5 Tackles vs Liverpool - 1pt - WON @ 10/11
Daniel Munoz - Over 1.5 Fouls Committed vs Burnley - 1.5pts LOST @ 6/4
Marc Cucurella - Over 1.5 Fouls Committed vs Leeds - 1pt LOST @ 29/20
Ethan Ampadu - To Be Shown a Card - 0.5pts LOST @17/5
Rolling P/L: +7.61
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EV Eagle's Man United vs West Ham Bet Builder Tip - 1.5 Pts
The EV Eagle's bet builder tip for Man United vs West Ham features Casemiro 2+ shots, Diallo 2+ Tackles, & Magassa to be Carded.
At the time of publishing it is a best price of 18/1 with bet365.
Advised stake: 1.5pts
Casemiro – Over 1.5 Shots
Manchester United come into this one in strong domestic form, losing just one of their last seven Premier League matches, while West Ham continue to hover dangerously close to the relegation zone. With United expected to control possession, this sets up well for Casemiro to contribute in the final third. The Brazilian has registered 11 shots in the league this season and remains a constant threat from set pieces, a key angle given West Ham have already conceded 10 goals from dead-ball situations. His recent shot numbers of 3, 2, 0, 4 and 1 underline consistent involvement, and with West Ham allowing 28% more shots than the league average, this looks a strong price for a midfielder who loves to attack the box.
AI probability: 66%, Odds implied probability: 52%, Expected value: 26%
Amad Diallo – 2+ Tackles
This is a fascinating matchup for Diallo, who is expected to operate at right wing-back today. He lines up directly against Luis Guilherme, currently the most-dispossessed dribbler in the West Ham squad at 2.86 times per 90, while also attempting the most take-ons per 90 (4.29). That combination is perfect for tackle potential. Diallo’s recent tackling numbers read well: 2, 1, 2, 1, 0, 1, 2, 2, 2, and when playing specifically at right wing-back he has posted 2, 1, 0, 1, 2, 1, 2.
AI probability, 71%, Odds implied probability: 55%, Expected value: 30%
Soungoutou Magassa – To Be Shown a Card
Magassa enters this fixture in poor disciplinary form with two yellow cards in his last three starts, and the matchup does him no favours. Expected to feature in midfield against the aggressive pressing and ball-carrying of Casemiro and Bruno Fernandes, he is likely to be dragged into repeated defensive actions. The potential return of Cunha only increases the risk - he draws 2.44 fouls per 90 and frequently drops into midfield pockets to receive under pressure. With multiple United players who invite contact and carry the ball at speed, Magassa looks vulnerable to mistimed challenges and another booking.
AI probablity 33%, Odds implied probability: 25%, 31% Expected value
