The EV Eagle has landed on Oddschecker! 

In this new daily tipping series, the EV Eagle picks out their best bets from our Positive Expected Value tool, one of the premium tools available to Oddschecker+ subscribers. 

In today's article, the Eagle has picked out five of the best Positive EV bets from Wedneday night's Champions League action.

How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

Yesterdays Results:

Dennis Man - Over 1.5 Shots vs Atletico Madrid - 1.5pts - VOID
Alessandro Bastoni - Over 0.5 Shots vs Liverpool - 1pt - LOST
Baris Yilmaz - Over 0.5 Shots on Target vs Monaco - 1.25pts - LOST
Ederson - Over 0.5 Shots vs Chelsea - 2pts - LOST
Lamine Yamal - Anytime Goalscorer vs Eintracht Frankfurt - 1pt - LOST

Running P/L: -2.34pts

Athletic Bilbao vs PSG

Tip 1: Warren Zaïre-Emery – Over 0.5 Shots vs Athletic Bilbao – 1pt

Zaïre-Emery has managed at least one shot in seven of his last eleven games in all competitions and nine of his last twelve Champions League appearances. He also produced three shots against Tottenham in PSG’s last Champions League meeting.

With a 79% AI probability compared to a 53% implied probability, this selection carries exceptional value, generating a 47% Positive EV at 87/100 with SpreadEX.

Tip 2: Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta – Over 1.5 Fouls vs PSG – 1pt

De Galarreta is Athletic Club’s most aggressive presence in midfield, picking up eight yellow cards in his last twelve games. He has committed 2+ fouls in seven of his last eight outings.

Facing a PSG side expected to dominate possession, he should be heavily involved defensively.

The AI projects a 62% probability for this line, compared to just a 46% implied probability, producing a 35% Positive EV at 23/20 with BetMGM.

Villarreal vs FC Copenhagen

Tip 3: Nicolas Pépé – Over 0.5 Fouls vs FC Copenhagen – 1pt

Pépé has committed at least one foul in each of his last seven appearances and in ten of his last twelve starts. He has also produced fouls in all three of his most recent Champions League outings.

With a 66% AI probability vs a 55% implied probability, this foul line offers a solid 21% Positive EV at 5/6 with BetMGM.

Real Madrid vs Man City

Tip 4: Tijjani Reijnders – Over 1.5 Shots vs Real Madrid – 1pt

Reijnders has hit 2+ shots in ten of his last twelve starts and in ten of his last fifteen across all competitions. He now faces a Madrid side conceding a surprisingly high shot volume in the Champions League: 18, 17, 13, 11, and 15 across their last five European fixtures. Olympiacos registered 18 shots against them in their most recent UCL game.

The AI probability lands at 69% compared to 54% implied, giving this bet a 28% Positive EV at 17/20 with William Hill.

Benfica vs Napoli

Tip 5: Giovanni Di Lorenzo – Over 1.5 Fouls vs Benfica – 1.5pt

Benfica vs Napoli in Lisbon is a pivotal tie, and recent form suggests a fiery encounter. Benfica’s last 21 matches have produced eight red cards, while Napoli’s two Champions League away games have both seen dismissals.

Di Lorenzo has committed 2+ fouls in eight of his last twelve games and ranks as Napoli’s second most active fouler (1.5 per 90). Expect him to be involved in this fiery affair.

The AI gives a 54% probability for this line, narrowly above the 48% implied probability, resulting in a 14% Positive EV at 11/10 with SpreadEX.

Tip 6: Accumulator - 0.5 Points

Leg1: Giovanni Di Lorenzo – Over 1.5 Fouls vs Benfica

Leg 2: Nicolas Pépé – Over 0.5 Fouls vs FC Copenhagen

Leg 3: Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta – Over 1.5 Fouls vs PSG

Best price: 7/1 with BetMGM