
After two winners yesterday, the EV Eagle is back with four tips from tonight's football and basketball.
The EV Eagle has landed on Oddschecker!
In this new daily tipping series, the EV Eagle picks out their best bets from our Positive Expected Value tool, one of the premium tools available to Oddschecker+ subscribers.
In today's article, the Eagle has picked out five of the best Positive EV bets from Friday's football and basketball.
How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?
When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.
Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.
Yesterdays Results:
Tip 1: David Miculescu - Over 1.5 Shots vs Feyenoord - 1.25pts @ 26/25 VOID
Tip 2: Jamie Leweling - Over 0.5 Shots on Target vs M Tel Aviv - 1.25pts @ 3/4 VOID
Tip 3: Riccardo Orsolini - Over 0.5 Shots on Target vs Celta Vigo - 1pt @ 22/25 VOID
Tip 4: Matias Soule - Over 0.5 Shots on Target vs Celtic - 1.5pts @ 17/20 WON
Tip 5: Zeki Celik - Over 0.5 Shots vs Celtic - 1.25pts @ 1/1 WON
Running P/L: +2.36
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig
Tip 1: David Raum – Over 0.5 Shots vs FC Union Berlin – 1pt
Raum has been heavily involved in attacking phases of play, registering at least one shot in 15 of his last 20 starts. He also scored in his most recent appearance and has produced two shots in three of his last five matches.
The AI gives this a 64% probability against a 56% implied probability, creating a Positive EV of 16% at 13/10 with Betway.
Tip 2: Christoph Baumgartner – Over 1.5 Shots vs FC Union Berlin – 1.5pts
Baumgartner’s recent form is exceptional, with shot totals of 2,3,2,4 in his last four games and three goals across his last two outings. He has hit 2+ shots in 12 of his last 15 starts.
This is priced at 8/11 with SpreadEX and has a 66% ai probbaility of winning compared to 58% odds implied probability, giving us a 15% expected value.
West Brom vs Sheffield
Tip 3: Andre Brooks – Over 1.5 Shots vs West Brom – 1pt
Brooks has shown clear shooting intent, recording five shots in his most recent start against Stoke and hitting 2+ shots in three of his last four appearances.
The AI model gives this a 60% probability, compared to a 48% implied probability, delivering a strong 26% Positive EV at 11/8 with bet365.
Jazz vs Grizzlies
Tip 4: Jaylen Wells – Over 12.5 Points vs Jazz – 1.5pts
The 12.5 line looks too low based on Wells’ current role and production. He is averaging 15.9 points over his last ten games and a massive 19.0 across his last five. He has cleared 13+ points in seven of those ten games.
With injuries to Zach Edey and John Konchar, Wells is locked into 30+ minutes and a major usage role. His efficiency has been elite, shooting 64.4% during his hot streak. Regardless of Ja Morant’s status, Wells profiles as a primary scoring option.
The AI probability sits at 53% with a 50% implied probability, generating a 6% Positive EV at evens (1/1) with SpreadEX.








