In this new daily tipping series, the EV Eagle picks out their best bets from our Positive Expected Value tool, one of the premium tools available to Oddschecker+ subscribers. 

In today's article, the Eagle has picked out five of the best EV bets from today's football.

How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

Yesterday's Results:

Lens Win vs Toulouse - 1pt 15/8 - WON
Odsonne Édouard Over 1.5 Shots vs Toulouse - 1.5 pts 4/5 - LOST
Andrei Rațiu Over 1.5 Tackles vs Getafe - 1pt 3/4 - WON
Matteo Prati Over 0.5 Shots vs AC Milan - 1pt 17/20 - WON

Running P/L: +11.3 pts

Wolves vs West Ham

Joao Gomes – Over 1.5 Fouls vs West Ham - 1pt

10/13 with BetMGM at the time of publishing.

63% AI probability | 56% odds implied | 12% expected value

Joao Gomes is one of Wolves’ most combative midfielders, committing 42 fouls in 20 Premier League starts this season (2.32 per 90), more than any other Wolves player.

This number could rise further against a West Ham midfield featuring Lucas Paqueta (second most fouled in the league) and Matheus Fernandes (fourth most fouled), giving Gomes plenty of opportunities to get stuck in.

Bournemouth vs Arsenal

Piero Hincapié – Over 1.5 Tackles vs Bournemouth - 1pt

5/6 with bet365 at the time of publishing.

60% AI probability | 55% odds implied | 10% expected value

Bournemouth have been involved in the third-most duels in the Premier League this season, and their games tend to be end-to-end affairs. Hincapié should see multiple opportunities to engage in tackles against Bournemouth’s fast-transitioning, pacey forwards. This has landed in eight of his last 11 starts.

Atalanta vs Roma

Zeki Celik – Over 0.5 Shots vs Atalanta - 1pt

19/20 with William Hill at the time of publishing.

62% AI probability | 51% odds implied | 20% expected value

Celik has attempted a shot in 13 of his last 14 starts, averaging 1.36 per game. His recent shot count: 2,0,1,1,1,1,2,2,1,1,1,2,2,2.

He has even managed shots against three of the league’s toughest defenses this season – Napoli, AC Milan, and Inter Milan – showing he can find opportunities even in tight matches.

Elche vs Villareal

Juan Foyth – Over 1.5 Tackles vs Elche - 1pt

21/20 with Ladbrokes at the time of publishing.

69% AI probability | 49% odds implied | 42% expected value

Elche concede the fifth-most tackles in the league, and Foyth has recorded 2+ tackles in 10 of his last 13 starts and in each of his last five games. This matchup should give him plenty of chances to get stuck in.

Lille vs Rennes

Valentin Rongier – Over 0.5 Shots vs Lille - 1.5pt

3/4 with bet365 at the time of publishing.

61% AI probability | 56% odds implied | 10% expected value

Rongier has attempted a shot in 12 of his last 17 games. He comes off a performance with five shots, and his recent shot counts read: 5,0,2,3,1,0,1,1,2,1.

Two shots against PSG recently boost confidence that he can find at least one attempt in this matchup.