How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

Yesterday's Results:

Tip 1: Aljoscha Kemlein - Over 1.5 Tackles - 1pt @ 11/10 VOID
Tip 2: Kristijan Jakic Over 0.5 Fouls - 1pt @ 8/11 WON
Tip 3: Antoine Bernede Over 0.5 Shots - 1pt @ 1/1 WON
Tip 4: Maximo Perrone Over 1.5 Tackles - 1pt @ 5/6 WON

Running P/L: +7.3pts

West Brom vs Middlesbrough

Morgan Whittaker – Over 0.5 Shots On Target vs West Brom - 1pt

17/20 with BetMGM at the time of publishing.

62% AI probability | 54% Odds implied | 15% Expected Value

Whittaker has managed a shot on target in 11 of his last 12 games. West Brom don’t concede many shots, but they have conceded a goal in each of their last six games. If anyone is to get chances, it will be Whittaker.

Aune Heggebo – Over 1.5 Fouls vs Middlesbrough - 1pt

6/5 with bet365 (super sub) at the time of publishing.

51% AI probability | 48% Odds implied | 8% Expected Value

Heggebo has recorded 2+ fouls in six of his last seven starts. Recent foul counts read: 2, 4, 1, 5, 5, 2, 2, 1, 2. Middlesbrough have the second most average possession in the league and have drawn the third most fouls, giving Heggebo plenty of opportunities.

Espanyol vs Girona

Tyrhys Dolan – Over 1.5 Tackles vs Girona - 1pt

10/11 with Ladbrokes at the time of publishing.

63% AI probability | 52% Odds implied | 20% Expected Value

Dolan’s recent tackle counts: 5, 3, 4, 1, 3, 2, 5, 1, 3, 0, 3, 3. He has managed 2+ tackles in 11 of his last 15 starts. Girona are the ninth most tackled side in La Liga, so Dolan should have plenty of opportunities to get stuck in.