
Five value goalscorer bets from tonight's Champions League group phase finale.
Dortmund vs Inter Milan
Maximilian Beier – Anytime Goalscorer - 0.5pts
3/1 with Sky Bet
31.36% AI probability | 25% Odds implied | 25.44% Expected Value
Just one point separates Dortmund and Inter heading into the final round, and with both sides needing to chase victory to break into the top 8, but with no danger of dropping out of the play-offs, this has the feel of an open, attacking contest. Their last meeting ended 3-2, and a similar game script wouldn’t surprise.
Beier is in red-hot form with three goals in his last five starts . Averaging close to 3 shots per 90, he’ll be given freedom in the final third at home and looks overpriced to get on the scoresheet.
Monaco vs Juventus
Jonathan David – Anytime Goalscorer - 0.5 pts - VOID (Not in starting lineup)
9/5 with QuinnBet
45.3% AI probability | 34.7% Odds implied | 30.5% Expected Value
Juventus’ three straight Champions League wins have dragged them right back into the qualification picture, now just one point off the top eight. A win could yet open the door to automatic progression, and they’re unlikely to be conservative here.
David looks the standout goal threat, with three goals in his last five appearances and an impressive 3.31 shots per 90 across his last six games. If Juventus are going to force the issue, David is the most likely beneficiary.
Liverpool vs FK Qarabag
Dominik Szoboszlai – Anytime Goalscorer - 0.5pts
12/5 with Ladbrokes
35.7% AI probability | 29.4% Odds implied | 21.5% Expected Value
Liverpool are well placed for automatic qualification and know even a draw should be enough, and Qarabag’s defensive record suggests chances will come. They’ve conceded 2+ goals in every league-phase game, and 3+ in three of them.
Szoboszlai is thriving in the advanced midfield role, scoring three goals in his last four games and averaging 2.63 shots per 90 when deployed at CAM. Against a defence that leaks chances centrally, he looks well positioned to add another.
USG vs Atalanta
Nikola Krstović – Anytime Goalscorer - 0.5pts
9/5 with BetMGM
41.3% AI probability | 35.7% Odds implied | 15.6% Expected Value
Atalanta know a win could still carry them straight into the last 16, while Union Saint-Gilloise sit 31st with slim qualification hopes and have conceded the sixth-most goals in the league phase (17).
Krstović is the clear focal point in attack, arriving in devastating form with five goals in his last five games and an elite 4.9 shots per 90. With Atalanta chasing the win, volume alone gives him a strong scoring chance.
Club Brugge vs Marseille
Mason Greenwood – Anytime Goalscorer - 0.5 pts
9/5 with QuinnBet
45.5% AI probability | 35.7% Odds implied | 27.5% Expected Value
Marseille sit 19th but are in a healthy position to qualify and should progress with a draw - though sitting back isn’t in their DNA. They’ve scored 22 goals in their last six matches, and attack is clearly their preferred form of control.
Greenwood is the standout threat, with 15 goals in 25 appearances across league and Champions League. If Marseille score, it’s hard to look past him being the one to deliver.
Champions League Anytime Goalscorer Accumulator Tip - 0.25 pts
Dominik Szoboszlai – Anytime Goalscorer
Nikola Krstović – Anytime Goalscorer
Mason Greenwood – Anytime Goalscorer
Best price 20/1 with Ladbrokes at the time of publishing.








