PSG Vs Monaco

Folarin Balogun – Over 0.5 Shots on Target - 1pt

Balogun has already shown he can trouble this side, scoring twice against PSG in the Champions League while hitting the target in both legs. The striker has recorded at least one shot on target in 18 of his last 20 matches, making this low line look very achievable again.

64.63% AI probability | 52.91% implied | 22.15% EV | 22/25 (BetMGM)

Désiré Doué – Over 2.5 Shots - 1.5 pts

Doué’s shot volume has been outstanding recently, clearing this line in nine consecutive games. His recent returns of 3, 3, 4, 6, 3, 3, 4, 4, 4 underline just how involved he is in the final third, and against a Monaco side that allow more shots than league average, the opportunities should continue.

75.28% AI probability | 57.8% implied | 30.23% EV | 8/11 (BetMGM)

Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid

Eduardo Camavinga – Over 1.5 Fouls - 1pt

Camavinga remains Madrid’s most frequent offender, averaging 2.12 fouls per 90 across his last 20 appearances. With Celta Vigo’s Moriba drawing around 2 fouls per 90, the midfield battle should give Camavinga plenty of chances to go over this line again.

66.69% AI probability | 57.8% implied | 15.37% EV | 8/11 (Ladbrokes)

Napoli vs Torino

Matteo Prati – Over 0.5 Shots - 1pt

Prati has been far more adventurous in recent weeks, averaging 2.76 shots per 90 and producing 2+ shots in four of his last five matches. Even against a Napoli side that limits attempts well, just one effort looks well within reach given his recent shooting numbers.

64.08% AI probability | 58.14% implied | 10.22% EV | 7/10 (BetMGM)

Juan Jesus – Over 1.5 Tackles - 1pt

Juan Jesus leads Napoli for tackles, averaging 2.49 per 90 across his last 20 games. His recent numbers (3, 2, 2, 2, 2, 3, 1, 0, 1, 5, 4…) highlight a defender heavily involved in duels, and with Torino striker Simeone frequently dispossessed, the tackle opportunities should be there again.

62.64% AI probability | 57.9% implied | 8.18% EV | 8/11 (bet365)