Celta Vigo vs Real Oviedo

Tip 2: Ilyas Chaira - Over 0.5 Shots On Target - 1pt

Best odds of 4/5 available at BetMGM UK while publishing.

Ilyas Chaira has been extremely consistent when it comes to hitting the target, clearing this line in 9 of his last 10 matches. His recent counts of 1, 1, 0, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 2, 2 show a steady stream of efforts on goal, even against top opposition like Barcelona and Atletico Madrid. Averaging 1.2 shots on target per 90 and landing this in 4 of his last 5 away games, he looks very reliable to register at least one effort on target again.

57% AI probability | 55% Odds implied | 3% EV

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Saturday's Results:

Nahuel Molina - Over 0.5 Fouls - 1pt - VOID
Francisco Conceicao - To Score Or Assist - 0.5pt - LOST
Quentin Merlin - Over 1.5 Tackles - 2pt - LOST
Ousmane Camara - Over 1.5 Tackles - 1pt - LOST

2025/26 Season P+L: +16.6pts

 

Chelsea vs Man City

Tip 1: Rodri - Over 0.5 Shots - 1pt

Best odds of 11/10 at BetMGM UK while publishing.

Rodri has cleared this line in 4 of his last 5 matches, with counts of 1, 2, 0, 1, 5. While not a high-volume shooter, he regularly finds space around the edge of the box to get attempts away. Against a Chelsea side that can leave gaps centrally, he should have opportunities to step forward and take at least one shot.

69% AI probability | 48% Odds implied | 46% EV

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Mainz vs Freiburg

Tip 4: Matthias Ginter - Over 0.5 Fouls - 1pt

Best odds of 1/1 at bet365 while publishing.

Matthias Ginter has been consistently involved in physical duels, committing at least one foul in 7 of his last 8 games. His recent counts of 1, 1, 0, 1, 1 underline that consistency. Even though his season average sits at 0.5 fouls per game, his recent trend shows increased involvement, making one foul a realistic expectation.

62% AI probability | 50% Odds implied | 24% EV

Toulouse vs Lille

Tip 5: Pape Diop - Over 1.5 Shots - 1pt

Best odds of 1/1 at Coral while publishing.

Pape Diop offers strong shot volume for a midfielder, clearing this line in 7 of his last 10 matches. His recent counts of 2, 2, 0, 1, 1, 1, 4, 5, 3, 2 highlight both consistency and upside. Averaging 2.3 shots per game this season, he is regularly getting into positions to shoot, which gives this leg a solid foundation.

60% AI probability | 50% Odds implied | 19% EV

Como vs Inter

Tip 3: Federico Dimarco - Over 1.5 Shots - 1.5pt

Best odds of 21/20 at Coral while publishing.

Federico Dimarco has become a dependable option for shot volume, going over this line in 7 of his last 10 matches. He averages 2.0 shots per game across the season, and his away numbers show strong upside with counts of 3, 5, 4, 4, 3, 3 in recent fixtures. Even with the occasional lower return, his role and willingness to shoot make 2+ attempts a consistent outcome.

65% AI probability | 49% Odds implied | 33% EV