EV Eagle highlights five of the best betting angles from Friday’s football action across Europe.
How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?
When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.
Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.
Yesterday's Results:
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli – To Score or Assist -1 pt - 13/10 WON
Sofyan Amrabat – Over 0.5 Shots -1 pt - LOST
Elliot Anderson – Over 1.5 Fouls - 1pt - VOID
Matthias Ginter – Over 0.5 Fouls - 1pt - WON
Maximilian Eggestein – Over 0.5 Shots - 1pt - LOST
Running P/L: +20.33 pts
Today's Selections:
Lens vs Toulouse
Tip 1: Odsonne Edouard - Anytime Goalscorer - 1pt
Best odds of 7/5 at BetVictor while publishing.
51% AI probability | 42% odds implied | 23% expected value
Odsonne Édouard has hit the Anytime Goalscorer market in 2 of his last 3 matches and is coming into this game in strong form. He’s up to 12 goals for the season, with 3 of those coming in his last 2 appearances, underlining his current momentum in front of goal.
After picking up an injury in the return leg, he’ll be eager to make an impact here and add to his tally.
Tip 2: Mamadou Sangare - Over 1.5 Shots - 1pt
Best odds of 57/50 at BetMGM UK while publishing.
59% AI probability | 48% odds implied | 26% expected value
Mamadou Sangare has gone over 1.5 shots in 4 of his last 5 matches, showing a steady level of attacking involvement. His recent returns (0, 3, 4, 2, 3) highlight how regularly he’s getting into shooting positions.
He also averages 1.5 shots per game this season, which sits right on the threshold and supports the consistency behind this trend.
Sassuolo vs Como
Tip 3: Martin Baturina - Over 0.5 Shots On Target - 1pt
Best odds of 21/20 at Betway while publishing.
74% AI probability | 49% odds implied | 51% expected value
Martin Baturina has exceeded 1.5 shots in 4 of his last 10 games, showing occasional involvement in attacking phases rather than consistent volume.
He averages just under 0.3 shots on target per game this season, which highlights his generally limited shooting output. However, he did manage to test the goalkeeper in his last outing against Inter, suggesting he can still pose a threat in higher-intensity matches.
Kwiff
Blackburn vs Coventry
Tip 4: Jack Rudoni - To Score Or Assist - 0.75pts
Best odds of 17/4 at BetMGM UK while publishing.
26% AI probability | 19% odds implied | 40% expected value
Jack Rudoni has landed the Anytime Goalscorer market in 4 of his last 6 matches, highlighting his growing influence in the final third.
He’s in excellent form overall, registering 5 goals and 2 assists in his last 9 games and blanking in just 3 of those appearances. That consistency underlines how regularly he’s getting into dangerous areas and contributing decisively for his team.
Inter vs Cagliari
Tip 5: Sebastiano Esposito - To Score Or Assist - 0.75pts
Best odds of 14/5 at Virgin Bet while publishing.
31% AI probability | 26% odds implied | 20% expected value
Sebastiano Esposito has recorded a goal or assist in 4 of his last 5 matches, underlining his strong recent form and consistent attacking output.
He’s been a key contributor overall this season with 6 goals and 5 assists, and his role as penalty taker adds an extra layer of value in attacking markets.
