The EV Eagle had two winners from four bets yesterday, including a 3/1 anytime goalscorer shout, check out Wednesday's tips here.
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When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.
Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.
Tuesday's Results:
Jack Hinshelwood - Over 1.5 Shots vs Chelsea - 1pt - 6/5 - WON
Marc Cucurella - Over 1.5 Fouls vs Brighton - 1pt - 13/8 - LOST
Lewis Dunk - Over 0.5 Fouls vs Chelsea - 1pt - 11/10 - VOID
Brighton vs Chelsea Bet Builder - VOID
Vitor Reis - Over 1.5 Tackles vs Real Betis - 1pt - LOST
Kasey Palmer - Anytime Goalscorer vs Rotherham - 0.75pts - 17/5 - WON
2025/26 Season P+L: +24.25pts
Eiran Cashin - 0.5 Shots vs Sheffield Utd - 1pt
Best odds of 23/20 with Coral / Ladbrokes when publising.
Since joining Blackburn Rovers, Eiran Cashin has developed a strong profile for a defender in the shots market.
Across 16 starts, Cashin has registered 15 shot attempts, recording at least one effort in eight of his last nine appearances — a consistent trend driven largely by his threat from set pieces.
Blackburn head into this fixture knowing a single point will secure their Championship status, which should encourage a front-foot approach. Against a Sheffield United side with little left to play for, that attacking intent could translate into further opportunities for Cashin to get a shot away.
54% AI Probability | 47% Implied Probability | 16% Expected Value
Marcos Senesi - Over 0.5 Shots vs Leeds - 1pt
Best odds of 11/8 with bet365 when publishing.
Sticking with defender shots, we head to the Vitality Stadium where AFC Bournemouth host Leeds United in one of Wednesday’s Premier League fixtures.
Argentinian centre-back Marcos Senesi has hit a strong run at home, registering at least one shot in four of his last five starts at the Vitality — a trend largely driven by his aerial presence from set pieces.
He faces a Leeds side conceding plenty of territory in wide areas, allowing 7+ corners in four of their last five away matches, which should provide Senesi with regular opportunities to attack the ball. Notably, against sides in and around the relegation picture, he’s recorded at least one shot in five of his last six appearances, reinforcing his consistency in favourable matchups.
57% AI Probability | 50% Implied Probability | 13% Expected Value
BetMGM UK
Ethan Ampadu - Over 0.5 Shots vs Bournemouth - 1pt
Best odds of 11/10 with betway when publishing.
Another shots angle at the Vitality Stadium focuses on Leeds United midfielder Ethan Ampadu to register at least one attempt.
The Welsh international has been a consistent presence in forward areas, recording at least one shot in seven of his last eight appearances for Leeds. With Bournemouth often allowing space around the edge of the box, Ampadu’s willingness to step out from midfield and strike from range adds to his appeal in this market.
At even money or better, his recent shot volume suggests this is a line worth backing to continue.
54% AI Probability | 48% Implied Probability | 13% Expected Value
Mauro Arambarri - Over 1.5 Fouls vs Real Sociedad - 1pt
Best odds of 1/1 with Coral / Ladbrokes when publishing.
Another streak we are looking to get behind is Mauro Arambarri's foul line.
The Uruguayan has committed 2+ fouls in each of his last five appearances, and is averaging 1.76 fouls per game across the season — underlining his consistency in a combative midfield role.
Getafe travel to face Real Sociedad in a clash with European implications, and these types of fixtures tend to be particularly physical. Notably, in Sociedad’s last five home matches, at least one central midfielder has committed 2+ fouls in each game.
With both sides battling for continental qualification and Arambarri’s role built around disrupting play, he looks well placed to extend his strong recent run.
56% AI Probability | 50% Implied Probability | 13% Expected Value
Mikel Oyarzabal - Anytime Goalscorer vs Getafe - 1pt
Best odds of 2/1 with Sporting Index / SpreadEx when publishing.
Sticking at the Anoeta, the final tip focuses on Real Sociedad forward Mikel Oyarzabal to get on the scoresheet.
Oyarzabal has been particularly reliable on home soil, scoring nine goals in 13 league appearances, including six in his last six at the Anoeta. He also boasts a strong record in this fixture, netting three times in his last three home games against Getafe.
With Sociedad needing a result to keep their European hopes alive, responsibility will naturally fall on their captain and primary attacking outlet. Given his consistency at home and proven record in this matchup, Oyarzabal looks well placed to deliver again.
40% AI Probability | 33% Implied Probability | 19% Expected Value
