EV Eagle picks out three standout tips for Monday Night Football action across Europe.
How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?
When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.
Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.
Sunday's Results:
Valentin Rosier - Over 0.5 Shots - 1pt - WON @ 11/10
Matthias Ginter - Over 0.5 Fouls - 1pt - VOID
Francisco Conceicao - Over 1.5 Shots - 1pt - WON @ 10/13
Marcus Thuram - Over 0.5 Tackles - 1pt - WON @ 8/11
Jonathan Clauss - Over 0.5 Shots - 1pt - LOST
2025/26 Season P+L: +21.13pts
Kwiff
Manchester United vs Brentford
Tip 1: Amad Diallo - Over 0.5 Shots On Target
Best odds of 10/11 at BetMGM UK while publishing.
60% AI Probability | 52% Implied Probability | 15% Expected Value
Amad Diallo looks a strong pick for over 0.5 shots on target, having cleared this line in 8 of his last 10 club matches. His consistency stands out, with shot-on-target counts of 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1, and 1 across that run. Averaging 0.85 shots on target per game, Diallo is regularly testing the goalkeeper and remains a reliable option in attacking markets.
Tip 2: Dango Ouattara - Over 0.5 Shots On Target - 1pt
Best odds of 23/20 at 10bet while publishing.
70% AI Probability | 58% Implied Probability | 22% Expected Value
Dango Ouattara is another solid selection for over 0.5 shots on target, clearing this line in 4 of his last 5 games. His recent numbers of 3, 1, 1, 0, and 1 highlight his current form, and he has been a consistent threat going forward. With Manchester United not always convincing defensively, Ouattara should have opportunities to at least force a save, even if he does not find the net.
Tip 3: Bet Builder - 0.25pts
Amad Diallo - Over 0.5 Shots On Target
Dango Ouattara - Over 0.5 Shots On Target
Igor Thiago - Over 0.5 Tackles
Best odds of 5/1 at Coral while publishing.
Kwiff
Espanyol vs Levante
Tip 4: Urko Gonzalez - Over 1.5 Fouls - 1pt
Best odds of 11/10 at Ladbrokes while publishing.
55% AI Probability | 48% Implied Probability | 16% Expected Value
Urko Gonzalez de Zarate is tipped for over 1.5 fouls, a line he has exceeded in each of his last five matches. His recent foul counts of 4, 2, 3, 2, and 2 underline his aggressive involvement in midfield battles. Averaging 1.91 fouls per game over his last 10 matches, he consistently gets stuck into challenges, making this a dependable pick.
Lazio vs Udinese
Tip 5: Oumar Solet - Over 1.5 Tackles - 1pt
Best odds of 5/6 at Coral while publishing.
59% AI Probability | 55% Implied Probability | 8% Expected Value
Oumar Solet completes the selections for over 1.5 tackles and stands out as one of the strongest options. He has cleared this line in 8 of his last 10 matches, with tackle counts of 2, 4, 3, 2, 0, 3, 4, 3, 4, and 2. Averaging 2.27 tackles per game across his last 20 matches, and around 2 per game in his last 10 home fixtures, Solet offers consistent defensive output and regularly delivers in this market.
