EV Eagle's Five Best Bets from Saturday's Premier League Games

Osasuna vs Barcelona

Tip 2: Ronald Araujo - Over 0.5 Shots - 1pt

Best odds of 10/11 at Coral while publishing.

AI Probability 72% | Implied Probability 52% | EV 38%

Ronald Araújo is backed for over 0.5 shots, a line he has missed just twice in his last 10 matches. His recent shot counts of 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 1, 2, 1, 2, and 0 underline his threat, particularly from set pieces where his aerial ability comes into play. He has also averaged over one shot per game in his last five away matches, making him a reliable option to register at least one attempt.

Leverkusen vs Leipzig

Tip 3: Yan Diomande - To Score Or Assist - 1pt

Best odds of 5/4 at VirginBet while publishing.

AI Probability 52% | Implied Probability 44% | EV 16%

Yan Diomande looks a strong candidate to score or assist, continuing his standout campaign for Leipzig. The youngster has racked up 12 goals and 7 assists this season and has either scored or assisted in his last three matches, as well as in 8 of his last 10. With Leverkusen conceding 42 goals this season and Leipzig ranking among the league’s top scorers, Diomande is well placed to make another decisive contribution.

FC Metz vs AS Monaco

Tip 4: Folarin Balogun - Anytime Goalscorer - 1pt

Best odds of 10/11 at Skybet while publishing.

AI Probability 59% | Implied Probability 52% | EV 12%

Folarin Balogun is in excellent form and is backed as an anytime goalscorer. He has scored in 8 of his last 10 games and also has 12 goals for the season. Facing a Metz side sitting 18th and struggling defensively at home, the matchup looks favourable. Monaco have scored five goals in each of their last two meetings with Metz, and Balogun himself netted twice in this fixture last year, adding further weight to the selection.

Nice vs RC Lens

Tip 5: Mamadou Sangare - Over 1.5 Shots - 1pt

Best odds of 19/20 at BetMGM UK while publishing.

AI Probability 58% | Implied Probability 51% | EV 14%

Mamadou Sangare completes the picks for over 1.5 shots, a line he has cleared in 6 of his last 7 games. His shooting numbers are particularly strong, averaging 2.14 shots across his last 20 matches, 2.31 in his last 15, and 2.60 in his last 10. His recent shot counts of 5, 3, 3, 0, and 3 show consistent attacking involvement, making him a dependable option to hit this line again.

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Saturday's Predictions

Brentford vs West Ham

Tip 1: Konstantinos Mavropanos - Over 1.5 Tackles - 1pt

Best odds of 23/20 at Ladbrokes while publishing.

Konstantinos Mavropanos has exceeded 1.5 Tackles in 6 of their last 10 games.

AI Probability 58% | Implied Probability 47% | EV 24%

Konstantinos Mavropanos is a solid pick for over 1.5 tackles, having cleared this line in 6 of his last 10 games. He averages 1.52 tackles per game across his last 15 outings and has been a key figure in West Ham’s improved run in the Premier League. His recent tackle counts of 0, 1, 3, 3, and 3, along with strong away numbers of 1, 3, 3, 3, and 2, highlight his consistency. Against a Brentford side that attack with intensity, he should see plenty of defensive action. The best odds for this selection are 23/20 with Ladbrokes at the time of writing.