Man City vs Crystal Palace

Ismaïla Sarr Over 1.5 Shots – 1pt

Odds Implied: 46.51% | AI Probability: 58.81% | Expected Value: 26.44%

13/10 with Betway

Sarr has been extremely consistent for shot volume, regularly clearing this line and showing a strong attacking presence in recent matches.

Ismaïla Sarr Shots: 6, 2, 3, 2, 2, 4, 13, 0, 2, 2, 3, 4, 2, 2, 2, 2, 3

He has also scored seven goals in his last 10 games, highlighting both form and confidence in front of goal, and he managed two shots in the reverse fixture back in December.

Jeremy Doku Anytime Goalscorer – 0.75pt

Odds Implied: 29.41% | AI Probability: 33.08% | Expected Value: 12.47%

12/5 with SpreadEX/Sporting Index

Doku is enjoying a standout run of form and has become a key attacking figure, particularly in recent weeks.

Scored in last three games.

Since returning from the March international break, he has produced five goals and two assists in seven matches, registering a goal or assist in each of his last four appearances.

With his confidence high and role in the attack growing, he looks a constant threat to find the net.

Daniel Muñoz To Be Shown A Card – 0.75pts

Odds Implied: 27.78% | AI Probability: 30.02% | Expected Value: 8.07%

13/5 with BetMGM

Muñoz faces a difficult matchup against one of the most fouled players in the league, which should increase his chances of committing fouls under pressure.

Daniel Muñoz Fouls Committed: 0, 2, 3, 1, 3, 0, 6, 1, 1, 2, 0, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1

He has also picked up seven yellow cards in 26 Premier League appearances this season, showing a consistent disciplinary record.

Jeremy Doku averages 3.23 fouls drawn per 90 over his last 20 games, reinforcing the likelihood of Muñoz being forced into stopping him, making the card angle appealing.

Bet Builder - 18/1 - 0.25 pts

Ismaïla Sarr – Over 1.5 Shots 

Jeremy Doku – Anytime Goalscorer 

Daniel Muñoz – To Be Shown A Card 

Best price 18/1 with bet365.