
Oli Nixon picks out three betting angles from Sunday's Premier League games.
Man United vs Nottingham Forest
Harry Maguire o0.5 shots for Man Utd v Nottingham Forest
4/5 – BetMGM – 1 unit
Harry Maguire has a reputation as an aerially dominant centre back in both boxes and as such, he regularly finds himself on the end of Man Utd set pieces. Since Michael Carrick took charge, Maguire averages 1.01 shots per 90 in games at Old Trafford and he should be the target for first contact on all dead ball situations with Casemiro potentially out injured. With Bruno Fernandes chasing the assists record, there should be plenty of balls swung in towards the central defender and he’s shown he’s more than capable of nodding them goalwards.
Forest are giving up 4.36 shots from set plays per game this season and if United are to rack up a similar number, we can expect Maguire to be heavily involved. The visitors have conceded nine shots to opposition centre backs in their last five matches and with their safety secured, Vitor Pereira may opt to shuffle his pack, further increasing the likelihood of the Red Devils dominating and Maguire getting opportunities.
Wolves vs Fulham
O24.5 shots in Wolves v Fulham
10/11 – Betfred/Betway – 1 unit
We’ve reached the stage of the season where some teams have nothing to play for and with no jeopardy in their results, sides tend to open up without the fear of losing. Fulham certainly fit that billing, sat 11th in the table and with recent shot counts of 28 v Arsenal, 31 against Burnley and 37 at Anfield. Their away games this season produce an average of 24.5 efforts at goal and they’ll fancy their chances of racking up a few goals at bottom side Wolves.
The hosts are also playing for pride having been relegated weeks ago and this game is their last chance to give the Molineux faithful some hope going into next season in the Championship. Rob Edwards’ side have also had end-to-end affairs in recent weeks with their last game on their own patch seeing 30 shots whilst this fixture last season generated 29. Two teams with no need to defend should mean entertainment and hopefully plenty of goalmouth action.
Leeds vs Brighton
Jack Hinshelwood o0.5 shots on target for Brighton v Leeds
6/4 – 10Bet/Betway – 1 unit
Jack Hinshelwood is enjoying the best spell of his career in terms of attacking output having netted in three consecutive league games for Brighton, across which he’s worked the goalkeeper on six occasions. The young midfielder has been given licence to get into the box whenever possible by Fabian Hurzeler and as a result has landed this bet in eight of his last 11 Premier League starts, averaging 0.79 per 90 across the campaign.
Leeds are another team with little to play for and so Brighton should get plenty of chances to pull the trigger. The hosts have conceded 3.33 efforts on target per game at Elland Road this season and in the reverse fixture they were humbled 3-0 as the Seagulls found the target seven times. With Brighton chasing Champions League qualification and Hinshelwood in such sparkling form, this looks a generous price that we can take advantage of.













