Premier League Final Day Accumulator - 0.5 pts

Four players stand out as value selections for the final round of Premier League fixtures, with a combination of form, motivation and underlying numbers making this four-fold worth consideration.

  • Bruno Fernandes To Score Or Assist 
  • Mohamed Salah Anytime Goalscorer
  • Taty Castellanos Anytime Goalscorer 
  • William Osula Anytime Goalscorer 

Combined Odds: 32/1 with BetMGM

CLICK HERE TO ADD TO BETSLIP

Bruno Fernandes To Score Or Assist 

Odds Implied: 46.51% | AI Probability: 48.28% | Expected Value: 3.8%

23/20 with BetMGM

Fernandes remains the creative heartbeat of Manchester United and has been producing goal contributions consistently all season.

Bruno Fernandes Scored OR Assisted: 1, 0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 2, 0, 0, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1

He also has extra motivation heading into this fixture as he looks to break the Premier League assist record. We saw how much his team mates wanted it for him in the last game and with nothing to play for in the league, focus might turn to helping Fernandes get over the line.

Mohamed Salah Anytime Goalscorer

Odds Implied: 38.46% | AI Probability: 42.11% | Expected Value: 9.49%

8/5 with Ladbrokes

Salah heads into his final game at Anfield with plenty on the line and remains Liverpool's primary goal threat.

He has scored five goals in his last eight starts and will retain penalty duties, further boosting his chances of finding the net.

With Liverpool still chasing Champions League qualification, expect Salah to be heavily involved especially as he looks to depart with a one more goal to his name.

Taty Castellanos Anytime Goalscorer 

Odds Implied: 33.33% | AI Probability: N/A | Expected Value: N/A

2/1 with bet365

Castellanos comes into this fixture in strong form and faces a Leeds side that have struggled defensively away from home, keeping just two clean sheets in 18 league matches.

Valentín Castellanos Expected Goals (xG): 0.49, 0.17, 0.37, 0.26, 0.3, 0.72

Valentín Castellanos Shots: 8, 2, 5, 1, 3, 5, 6

He has scored three goals in his last five games, while his shot volume has risen significantly towards the end of the season, averaging 4.11 shots per 90 across his last six matches compared to 2.95 across his previous 20.

West Ham need a saviour and Castellanos has looked like the man most likely to step up.

William Osula Anytime Goalscorer 

Odds Implied: 35.71% | AI Probability: 37.66% | Expected Value: 5.45%

9/5 with SpreadEX

Osula has emerged as one of Newcastle's most in-form attackers and continues to produce excellent underlying numbers.

William Osula Expected Goals (xG): 0.91, 0.57, 0.78, 0, 0.39, 0.94

Only Bruno Guimarães (9) and Nick Woltemade (8) have scored more Premier League goals for Newcastle this season than Osula (7), with six of those seven goals arriving in his last eight appearances.

His recent xG figures suggest he is consistently getting into dangerous positions and remains a major scoring threat.