World Cup Betting Tips Today: EV Eagle's Best Bets for Monday

How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

Michael Olise Anytime Goalscorer – 1pt

Odds Implied: 44.44% | AI Probability: 54.46% | Expected Value: 22.54%

5/4 with Sporting Index

France arrive having already scored 3+ goals in six of their last nine internationals, and even when not at their best (like the 3-1 win over Senegal), they still created high-quality chances late on once their forwards found rhythm. Iraq, meanwhile, were cut open repeatedly in a 4-1 defeat to Norway, particularly in wide areas and transitions – exactly where Olise tends to operate.

Olise is yet to open his account at the world cup but a hat trick against Northern Ireland is proof enough of what he is capable of.

For France Michael Olise Goals: 0, 3, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0

Lionel Messi Over 3.5 Shots – 1pt

Odds Implied: 52.36% | AI Probability: 64.18% | Expected Value: 22.58%

10/11 with Ladbrokes

Messi continues to post elite shot volumes, particularly in high-profile matches where Argentina dominate possession and he operates with freedom between the lines.

Lionel Messi Shots: 6, 3, 5, 8, 7, 4, 3, 3, 7, 2

He comes into this fixture off the back of a hat-trick and six-shot performance, and his recent output suggests he is consistently comfortable clearing this line regardless of opposition.

Austria allowed 11 shots to Jordan (FIFA ranked 68) despite a 3-1 win, and facing the world number one ranked side is likely to pose an even greater challenge.

Messi was central to everything good Argentina did in their opener and he can do the same here.

Julian Ryerson To Score Or Assist – 0.75pt

Odds Implied: 23.81% | AI Probability: 26.08% | Expected Value: 9.54%

16/5 with Virgin Bet

Ryerson operates in a highly advanced role for Norway, often functioning as an auxiliary winger.

He has consistently delivered end product from wide areas and remains heavily involved in chance creation.

• 4 assists and 1 goal in 8 qualifying matches
• Bundesliga: 15 assists this season (2nd most in the league)

Norway were one of the highest-scoring sides in qualification and their four goals in the opener showed they have no intention of slowing down. 

In Norway’s opener, he didn’t register a direct assist but still led the team in shot creation (3) and produced 9 crosses along with 0.36 xA.