The EV Eagle finds the value in tonight's MLS fixtures.
Casemiro Anytime Goalscorer – 0.5pt
Odds Implied: 16.67% | AI Probability: 32.63% | Expected Value: 95.78%
5/1 with Ladbrokes/Coral
Casemiro’s goal threat looks significantly underrated for a midfielder with a proven scoring record. He finished as the top-scoring Premier League midfielder last season with nine league goals and also ranked sixth among Premier League midfielders for shots per 90.
Top-scoring Premier League midfielder last season: 9 goals 6th among PL midfielders for shots per 90 2 shots on debut vs Montreal
His debut performance against Montreal suggested he is already arriving in attacking areas regularly, and at 5/1 the market appears to be underestimating his scoring upside.
Carles Gil Over 0.5 Shots On Target – 1pt
Odds Implied: 57.8% | AI Probability: 68.79% | Expected Value: 19.01%**
8/11 with Ladbrokes
Gil continues to be the creative and shooting hub of his side and regularly tests the goalkeeper.
Carles Gil Shots on Target: 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 1, 2, 1, 0, 1, 0, 1, 1, 3, 0, 0
Carles Gil Shots: 1, 4, 3, 1, 0, 1, 5, 4
Carles Gil Goals: 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 1, 1, 0, 1, 0
Aleksey Miranchuk Over 0.5 Shots On Target – 1pt
Odds Implied: 51.28% | AI Probability: 64.96% | Expected Value: 26.67%**
19/20 with Ladbrokes
Miranchuk has been producing reliable attacking numbers, particularly in terms of shots on target.
Aleksey Miranchuk Shots on Target: 0, 2, 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1, 2, 1, 2, 1, 1, 0, 1, 2
Aleksey Miranchuk Shots: 1, 2, 1, 2, 3, 7, 1, 3, 2, 2, 3, 2, 1, 0, 2, 3
He has hit the target in the majority of his recent appearances and continues to average a healthy shot volume, making this line attractive at close to even money.
Myrto Uzuni Over 0.5 Shots On Target – 1pt
Odds Implied: 57.8% | AI Probability: 62.46% | Expected Value: 8.06%**
8/11 with BetMGM
Uzuni remains a consistent attacking contributor and regularly gets efforts away from dangerous areas.
Myrto Uzuni Shots: 0, 3, 2, 1, 7, 4, 5, 2, 2, 2, 2, 4, 1, 1, 1, 1
Myrto Uzuni Shots on Target: 0, 2, 1, 0, 4, 3, 1, 1, 0, 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 1
Myrto Uzuni Goals: 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 1
