EV Eagle selects five best betting tips for Tuesday's footballing games across Europe.
EV Eagle returns with five player betting tips for Tuesday's action, covering League One's Plymouth Argyle, the Championship's Middlesbrough, La Liga's Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano, and a home tie for Alavés.
How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?
Bookmakers price up matches based on their own estimate of how likely each outcome is.
Positive EV betting looks for the moments where a price doesn't fully reflect a player's real chance of hitting a market, using recent form, underlying shot and involvement data, and head-to-head trends to spot value the odds haven't caught up with yet.
EV Eagle Betting Tips
| Selection | Best Bet | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lorent Tolaj | Anytime Goalscorer | 15/8 |
| Will Lankshear | Anytime Goalscorer | 11/10 |
| Kylian Mbappé | To Score 2 or More Goals | 17/10 |
| Sergio Camello | Anytime Goalscorer | 9/4 |
| Lucas Boyé | Over 1.5 Tackles | 23/20 |
TIP 1: Lorent Tolaj Anytime Goalscorer - 1pt
Best odds: 15/8 (Paddy Power)
Lorent Tolaj has found the net in two of his last four appearances for Plymouth Argyle, and the wider numbers around him look even more encouraging than the goal return alone. He's been directly involved in a goal, either scoring or assisting, in seven of his last ten outings, a sign he's a genuine focal point in the final third rather than someone reliant on isolated moments.
His shot count backs that up too, with 1, 0, 2, 1, 0, 0 and 3 shots on target across his recent matches showing he's still getting into shooting positions even in the games where the goal hasn't come. With that level of involvement, 15/8 for him to add to his tally again looks a fair price to open the card.
TIP 2: Will Lankshear Anytime Goalscorer - 1pt
Best odds: 11/10 (Skybet)
Will Lankshear has scored in three of his last four home appearances for Middlesbrough, continuing the sharp start he's made since his move from Tottenham. That home record is well supported by his underlying numbers, with shot counts of 3, 4, 1, 4, 3 and 6 across his recent matches showing a player who's consistently getting into the game.
His shots on target read 1, 3, 0, 2, 0, 3 and 2 over the same stretch, another sign that even his quieter performances still carry a route to goal. Backing a forward this involved to score again at home looks a sensible price at 11/10.
TIP 3: Kylian Mbappé To Score 2 or More Goals - 1pt
Best odds: 17/10
Kylian Mbappé has scored twice or more in two of his last five matches, a run that has brought him seven goals and an assist in that period alone, numbers that put him firmly among the most in-form forwards in Europe right now.
Real Madrid have scored 15 goals across their last five head-to-head meetings with Elche, though Mbappé has only faced this opponent once since joining the club, so there's little personal history to draw on beyond the team's dominant record. He's currently tied for the Golden Boot on six goals with three other players, and a player of his profile will be eager to break clear of that group rather than share top spot.His shot data over his last ten matches, 3, 4, 4, 7, 3, 2, 0, 1, 4, 2, 3 and 1 shots on target, shows the volume is there even in games where the goals haven't followed, and against a side Madrid have scored so freely against, 17/10 for a brace or more is worth including.
TIP 4: Sergio Camello Anytime Goalscorer - 1pt
Best odds: 9/4 (Skybet)
Sergio Camello has scored in seven of his last ten games for Rayo Vallecano, a return that includes four goals in his last five matches this season alone, among them a brace against Barcelona.That kind of form has put him level with Mbappé, Raphinha and Lamine Yamal at the top of La Liga's early Golden Boot race, elite company for a player at Rayo. With his scoring rate showing no signs of slowing, 9/4 for him to get on the scoresheet again looks a solid price.
TIP 5: Lucas Boyé Over 1.5 Tackles - 1pt
Best odds: 23/20 (10bet)
Lucas Boyé has gone over 1.5 tackles in each of his last five appearances for Alavés, and in three of his last four games at home specifically, a consistency that makes this line more about his defensive work rate than any single standout performance.
His recent tackle counts of 2, 3, 3, 3, 2, 2, 3, 3, 1 and 1 show he rarely drops below the two-tackle mark, and he's averaging 2.40 tackles per 90 minutes across his last 20 appearances. With that level of defensive involvement built into his game regardless of the scoreline, 23/20 for Boyé to clear 1.5 tackles rounds off the card.
